Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Macro and Prices: The Week Ahead

2022-10-22

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2022-10-22

There are five macro highlights in the week ahead. After providing a thumbnail sketch of them, we will look more closely at the price action of the leading dollar-pairs. We suspect that the dollar is in the process of carving out a top amid ideas that a 5.0% terminal Fed funds rate is discounted.

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Greenback Holds Above JPY150, while BOJ goes MIA

2022-10-21

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2022-10-21

Overview: The continued surge in US rates and inability of the equity market to sustain gains saw the post-Truss sterling rally unwind amid a broader recovery of the dollar. Sterling has been sold to new lows for the week.

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UK PM Truss resigns. What are the charts telling us

2022-10-20

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The UK PM Truss resigned and the GBPUSD initially moved higher before backing off. What is the chart in the GBPUSD telling us? A look at it and some of the other major currency pairs in the morning forex technical report for October 20, 2022

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Should I buy TSLA stock after earnings?

2022-10-20

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Tesla posted unimpressive earnings, and the stock is down over 6% after hours. It's almost $200. When a stock price is near a natural "magnet," it's more likely to be inspected. Stocks that underperform following results seldom recover quickly, if at all. It takes weeks to restart the stock's basic assumptions. The following piece of technical analysis shows how the stock is approaching the VAL (value area low) of the price range's...

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Are you ready for the Australian jobs report? What is video and you will be…

2022-10-19

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The September Australian jobs report will be released in the new trading day. Are you ready? Do you know the bias defining levels? Do you know the risks? Do you know the targets on a trend like move? In this video, I outline all the levels in play that will make you aware and prepared.

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FOREX QUICK: USDCHF trends higher but consolidates between target levels

2022-10-19

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Traders battle between 1.0020 and 1.0049 in the USDCHF

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The morning forex technical report for October 19, 2022

2022-10-19

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A technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD in the morning report. What are the technical bias, risk and targets that are driving the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD in early NA trading? Take a look at the video to confirm your current trade or prepare for your next one.

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Currency and Bond Markets Challenge the Bank of Japan

2022-10-19

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2022-10-19

Asia Pacific equities were mixed as the China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and South Korean markets, among the large markets were unable to gain in the wake of a solid performance in the US. Europe is also struggling to maintain the upside momentum that has lifted the Stoxx 600 for the past four sessions.

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Want to catch up to the technicals driving the forex markets today? Watch…

2022-10-18

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The technical report for October 18, 2022. In the morning forex report for October 18, 2022, I look at the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. Take less than 8 minutes and catch up to the market technicals driving the currency markets today.

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Turn Around Tuesday Aside, is the Dollar Topping?

2022-10-18

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2022-10-18

Global equities moved higher in the wake of the strong gains in the US yesterday. US futures point to the possibility of a gap higher opening today. Most of the large Asia Pacific bourses rallied 1%-2%, with China’s CSI a notable exception, slipping fractionally.

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The USD is moving lower today extending that move in early NY trading

2022-10-17

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A look at the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF to start the NY trading week. The USD is trading to new session lows to start the US trading session.  US stocks are higher and rebounding off of the sharp declines on Friday. Yields are lower. EURUSD: The EURUSD is moving above its 200 hour moving average for the 2nd time today. Buyers are making a play. Risk is a break back below the 200 hour moving average GBPUSD: The GBPOUSD moved away from...

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Sterling and UK Debt Market Respond Favorably to the Return of Orthodoxy

2022-10-17

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2022-10-17

Overview: The markets have returned from the weekend with a greater appetite for risk. Equities and bonds are rallying, and the dollar is better offered. China, Hong Kong, South Korea, and Indian bourses advanced. Mainland shares edged higher even though Zhengzhou, a city of one million people, near an iPhone manufacturing hub was locked down due to Covid. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is up nearly 0.5% to extend its recovery into a third session.

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Is a Failed Bearish Technical Signal Bullish?

2022-10-16

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2022-10-16

By nearly any measure one chooses, the dollar is historically rich. When it does turn, it would likely be dramatic. That is what happened after the stronger-than-expected US CPI figures. However, the lack of follow-through is what one would expect if the greenback's bull move was intact.  Still, we expect the dollar's super-cycle is entering a new phase. 

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Bias. Risk. Targets. Why. Intrigued? The weekend forex trading video.

2022-10-15

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In the weekend forex report a breakopen how you should be looking at your trades and then outline the key techicals that are driving the major currency pairs. What is the bias? What is the risk? What are the targets? All of those help determine the "why" for your trades including getting in and getting out.   The first part of the video is a traders lesson. The second part of the video starting at 9:37, goes through the major...

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Week Ahead: Focus Shifts away from the US after Robust Jobs Data and Stronger than Expected Inflation

2022-10-15

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2022-10-15

The latest US employment and inflation figures are passed. The market is confident of a 75 bp rate hike next month. While a 50 bp in December is still the odds-on favorite, the market has a slight chance (~15%) of a 100 bp move instead after the robust jobs report and stronger-than-expected September CPI.

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The morning FX technical report sets the parameters, the biases,the risks for your trading

2022-10-14

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Get ahead of the the game. Have your plan ready. The morning FX technical report sets the parameters, the biases, the risks for your trading TODAY.  Spend some time.  Take a look, and understand what levels are in play for your trading today and why.  Fast forward to your favorite currency pair: - EURUSD (0.48) - USDJPY (3:14) - GBPUSD (4:40) - USDCHF (6:52) - USDCAD (8:33)

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Dollar Recovers from Yesterday’s Stunning Reversal, but has Sentiment Turned in North America?

2022-10-14

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2022-10-14

There has been little follow-through dollar selling so far today after yesterday’s dramatic downside reversal after the initial flurry of buying in response to the stronger than expected US CPI.

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Why the markets made an incredible reversal today from a technical perspective

2022-10-13

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Adam clearly pointed out reasons for the incredible reversal today more from a fundamental perspective. Sentiment is horrible from Mom and Pop and from institutions too.  The UK is not imploding is another storyline that gave some support. You can read the post here. When looking at the price action and apply tools to it, that too told a story that said "the market is not doing what we all thought it should do".  In technical terms, the...

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The commodity currencies all moved to new lows vs the USD, but have seen rebounds. What next?

2022-10-13

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The commodity currency pairs - the USDCAD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD - all raced to new lows vs the stronger USD after the hotter than expected CPI data. However, there has been a bounce that now threatens that move in the short term at least.  IN this video, I look at the price action and show what would ruin the USD buying party vs these commodity pairs today and explain why.

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