New Year’s Resolutions For 2026 – Investor Version
2026-01-09
Every January, it happens like clockwork: you drive by gym parking lots that look like a Taylor Swift concert. Go to the store, and the salad aisles are ransacked like there’s a lettuce shortage, and half of your coworkers suddenly start quoting Warren Buffett while buying stock in companies they can’t spell. You got it, …
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1-8-26 Markets Don’t Need a Crash to Go Down in 2026
2026-01-08
Markets don’t need a crash to go down in 2026—valuation compression alone can do the damage.
In this Short video, Michael Lebowitz and I discuss why stretched multiples, normal volatility, and rotation risk matter more than bullish forecasts.
📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
1-5-26 Don’t Just Bet on Upside — Prepare for Any Outcome
2026-01-05
The outlook for 2026 hinges on how valuations and economic growth play out.
In this Short video, I cover multiple $SPX year-end scenarios and explain why managing ranges matters more than betting on a single target.
📺Full episode: -Z7mJI
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
The Bearish Bond Narrative Fades
2025-11-14
Not that long ago, bond yields were rising as concerns over deficits, inflation, and a series of bad Treasury auctions were paraded through the media. We bring this to your attention as the Ten-year Treasury auction on Wednesday was on the weaker side, yet the bond market reaction was minimal. Additionally, government deficits are just …
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11-13-25 QE Is Coming: Why Fed Liquidity Now Runs the Entire Market
2025-11-13
The scent of QE is back.
With overnight funding markets flashing early stress and NY Fed President John Williams hinting at “gradual asset purchases,” it’s clear: the liquidity cycle is turning again.
But the real question is why markets have become so dependent on the Fed in the first place.
Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the 2008 financial crisis fundamentally rewired market plumbing, sidelined private liquidity providers, and turned the Federal Reserve into the primary—and often the only—source of liquidity in the financial system.
0:00 – INTRO
0:20 – Government Shutdown Concludes – Deluge of Data to Follow
3:04 – Dow 48,000
9:43 – Will the Fed Cut Rates?
13:21 – Why the Rush to Cut Rates?
17:14 – What’s Causing Turmoil at the Fed?
20:42 – What Changed w Bank
Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed’s Latest Move
2025-09-24
Some Wall Street pundits believe that the recent Fed rate cut makes its policy too accommodative, and they also argue that the Fed is creating a “Goldilocks” scenario for the stock market. To wit, we recently saw the following comment and graph on X, which suggests we are in the “Goldilocks zone.” “Market is …
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9/19/25 Why Fighting The Data Is A Losing Trade
2025-09-19
Regardless of whether you believe CPI or jobs data reflects reality, markets trade on the official numbers.
In this short video, @AxelMerk & I discuss that even if employment or inflation numbers are flawed, what matters is how the Fed reacts, since liquidity and rate policy drive asset prices.
Watch the full episode here:
#CPIInflation #JobsReport #FederalReserve #MarketTrading #AxelMerk
Data Centers And The Power Grid: A Path To Debt Relief?
2025-09-19
Could data centers and the power grid be America’s next “renaissance?” With the U.S. national debt exceeding $37 trillion and interest payments surpassing defense spending, many articles have been written about the “debt doomsday” event coming. Such was a point we made in “The Debt and Deficit Problem.” “In recent months, much debate has been …
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