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| Retail risk appetite has surged to extreme levels last seen in early 2021, a period marked by peak speculation. Margin debt is accelerating as speculative money rapidly rotates across assets, with $SLV and $GLD the latest examples. In this short video, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain why history shows these conditions often lead to sharp volatility, not smooth market advances. 📺Full episode: Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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12-18-25 The Fed Turned the Liquidity Back On: Watch These Assets
2025-12-19
The Fed is adding liquidity (QE), whatever label they use. The assets most tied to reserves are the ones that will move first: #Bitcoin, major indexes $SPX / $QQQ, transportation, and materials.
In contrast, defensive sectors, $GLD, and $SLV show little to no relationship to changes in reserves.
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📺Full episode:
Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
BLue Owl Roils The AI Narrative
2025-12-19
Blue Owl Capital spooked AI investors on Wednesday when the Financial Times reported that the firm, one of Oracle’s larger financing partners for major U.S. data centers, decided not to provide equity backing for a $10 billion data center Oracle is building in Michigan. This planned facility is part of Oracle’s collaboration with OpenAI under …
12-25-25 Christmas Day Q & A
2025-12-15
Our Christmas Day Best-Of episode revisits some of the most important investing and financial planning discussions of the year.
Lance Roberts, Danny Ratliff, & Jonathan Penn examine whether the traditional 60/40 portfolio still serves its original purpose of reducing volatility, and what the three legs of investing mean in today’s market environment; whether the Federal Reserve has shifted away from its inflation mandate, how to interpret 2- and 3-standard-deviation market moves using tools like Bollinger Bands, and which economic data truly matters for investors—and where to find it.
We close by addressing common misconceptions around inflation, including the real impact of tariffs and why sustainable economic growth requires some level of inflation, along with a thoughtful
11-10-25 The Rocket Market: AI, Risk, and What Comes Next
2025-11-04
Markets have rocketed higher for six straight months — but how long can it last?
Hedgefund Telemetry founder, Tom Thornton joins Lance Roberts to unpack the forces driving this “Rocket of a Stock Market.” From AI euphoria and sector rotation to passive indexing risks and the Fed’s impact on valuations, we dig into what’s really happening under the surface.
#StockMarketAnalysis #AIBubble #InvestorSentiment #MarketVolatility #TomThornton
Amazon And OpenAI: Yet Another Massive Investment In AI
2025-11-04
Yesterday morning, OpenAI announced a massive $38 billion strategic partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS). This deal highlights OpenAI’s diversification strategy amid explosive growth and capacity demands for training advanced models like ChatGPT. Before the deal, OpenAI relied 100% on Microsoft for its cloud infrastructure. In addition to diversifying its cloud servers, the deal may …
Hindenburg Strikes: Omen Or False Alarm?
2025-11-03
Last Wednesday, for the first time since November 2021, a Hindenburg Omen hit. This gauge is triggered when an upward trend is met with a growing number of stocks hitting both new 52-week highs and lows. Such indicates bad breadth, weakening momentum, and indecision. If all five conditions listed below are met, the indicator gives …
Liquidity Concerns Put An End To QT
2025-10-30
Two weeks ago, Jerome Powell stated, “We may be approaching the end of our balance sheet contraction in the coming months.” In simple terms, as we wrote HERE, he is prepping the market for a quicker end to QT than was previously expected. While Powell was cryptic about why, the answer is obvious: liquidity concerns. …
9/9/25 The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide
2025-09-10
Thinking about buying Bitcoin but not sure of the best approach? You’re not alone. With so many options—crypto exchanges, ETFs, custodians, and even payment apps—the path can feel overwhelming.
In this episode, we break down the smartest ways to buy Bitcoin while considering security, fees, custody, and long-term investing strategy. Should you buy directly on an exchange, use a crypto wallet, or stick to regulated investment vehicles like ETFs? We’ll walk through the pros and cons so you can make an informed decision that fits your goals.
Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned investor curious about crypto, this guide will help you navigate the choices and avoid costly mistakes.
📺 Watch now to learn the best ways to safely and effectively buy Bitcoin.
He’ll break down:
Why
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