by Lance Roberts
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| Bitcoin’s usual links to $QQQ, Fed policy, and the four-year cycle have broken down. In this short video, Parker White and I discuss why key correlations have broken down and whether institutional buyers are changing the depth and shape of the next #Bitcoin bear market. 📺Full interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_6F1ITCnF0A Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow |
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The Seen And The Unseen Of QE-RMP
2025-12-22
In 1850, Economist Frederic Bastiat famously wrote an essay entitled “That which is seen, and that which is not seen.” The first chapter, “The Broken Window,” argues that good economics requires considering not just the immediate, visible effects of an action but also the delayed, less obvious (unseen) consequences. Unfortunately, most commentators, when asked about …
12-18-25 Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Global Risks & Opportunities
2025-12-18
For decades, the 60/40 portfolio—stocks and bonds—served as the foundation of balanced investing.
Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine the growing global forces reshaping markets. While Wall Street has remained fixated on AI hyperscalers, major developments abroad are increasingly driving returns and risk.
0:00 – INTRO
0:19 – Inflation Report Preview – Where’s the Fed’s Soft Landing?
3:05 – Markets working Through the Chop
9:56 – Top 10 Christmas Movies
13:24 – Inflation Expectations (Preview)
14:35 – The Fed Ends QT
20:35 – JP Morgan’s Liquidity Crunch
22:53 – Is the Economy Slowing More than They Think?
24:03 – Is the 60/40 Portfolio Model Dead?
26:07 – CAPE-10 Predictions
27:05 – The All-weather Portfolio – Why to Own Bonds
31:31 – Double Digit Environment is Unsustainable
11-10-25 The Rocket Market: AI, Risk, and What Comes Next
2025-11-04
Markets have rocketed higher for six straight months — but how long can it last?
Hedgefund Telemetry founder, Tom Thornton joins Lance Roberts to unpack the forces driving this “Rocket of a Stock Market.” From AI euphoria and sector rotation to passive indexing risks and the Fed’s impact on valuations, we dig into what’s really happening under the surface.
#StockMarketAnalysis #AIBubble #InvestorSentiment #MarketVolatility #TomThornton
Amazon And OpenAI: Yet Another Massive Investment In AI
2025-11-04
Yesterday morning, OpenAI announced a massive $38 billion strategic partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS). This deal highlights OpenAI’s diversification strategy amid explosive growth and capacity demands for training advanced models like ChatGPT. Before the deal, OpenAI relied 100% on Microsoft for its cloud infrastructure. In addition to diversifying its cloud servers, the deal may …
Hindenburg Strikes: Omen Or False Alarm?
2025-11-03
Last Wednesday, for the first time since November 2021, a Hindenburg Omen hit. This gauge is triggered when an upward trend is met with a growing number of stocks hitting both new 52-week highs and lows. Such indicates bad breadth, weakening momentum, and indecision. If all five conditions listed below are met, the indicator gives …
Liquidity Concerns Put An End To QT
2025-10-30
Two weeks ago, Jerome Powell stated, “We may be approaching the end of our balance sheet contraction in the coming months.” In simple terms, as we wrote HERE, he is prepping the market for a quicker end to QT than was previously expected. While Powell was cryptic about why, the answer is obvious: liquidity concerns. …
9/10/25 This Market Boom Isn’t Backed By The Data
2025-09-10
The market’s rally is not supported by underlying economic data. Weak jobs, disinflation, and slowing demand raise real recession risks.
A recession doesn’t necessarily mean a financial crisis or a 50% market crash, but you have to be ready for one.
In this short video, I break down what a recession could actually look like.
đź“ş Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRealInvestmentShow
#StockMarket #Recession #Investing #MarketCrash #EconomicOutlook
9/10/25 Are We On the Edge of Recession?
2025-09-10
Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s policies continue to weigh on growth.
In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips.
[NOTE: As of 10:00a CDT YouTube has yet to process this video sufficiently for us to edit or add time codes.]
SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality
SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview
SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle
SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession –
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