Liquidity Warning: SOFR Raises The Red Flag
2025-10-17
In our Daily Commentary from October 9th, we alerted readers to the fact that the Fed’s Overnight Repurchase Program was warning that the financial system was running out of a reliable store of excess liquidity. While not a concern, as we share in our quote below, it was worth monitoring. Said differently, after years of …
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Why Keynes’ Economic Theories Failed In Reality
2025-09-05
A recent post from Daniel Lacalle, “How Keynesians Got The US Economy Wrong Again,” exposed the widening gap between John Maynard Keynes’ economic theory and reality. Despite the confident forecasts of leading Keynesian economists, the U.S. economy in 2025 continues to defy expectations. The Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle failed to trigger the widely predicted “hard …
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Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment
2025-08-30
🔎 At a Glance 💬 Ask a Question Have a question about the markets, your portfolio, or a topic you’d like us to cover in a future newsletter? 📩 Email: [email protected]🐦 Follow & DM on X: @LanceRoberts📰 Subscribe on Substack: @LanceRoberts We read every message and may feature your question in next week’s issue! 🏛️ …
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OPEX Overload: How 3 Trillion In Expirations Can Move Markets
2025-08-21
Nearly $3 trillion of notional stock options expire on Friday’s open expiration (OPEX day). Over half of the OPEX volume is in S&P 500 options, with the remainder in single stock options. The graph below provides details on the split between puts and calls, and the strike prices and open interest of the options. Almost …
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Intel Pushes For Change: Will It Save Them?
2025-07-07
In no uncertain words, Intel’s stock has been a dog. As we share below, Intel stock has increased by a mere 2% over the last 20 years, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) has risen by over 1,200%. Over the previous 20+ years, Intel’s management has made many missteps, including: With dirt-cheap valuations compared to …
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Annuities Are Not Your Enemy.
2025-07-03
Utter the word ANNUITY and watch facial expressions. They range from fear to disgust to confusion. But hear me out: Annuities are not your enemy. Billionaire money manager and financial pitchman Ken Fisher appears as a haunting senior version of Eddie Munster in television ads. He stares with deep eyes ablaze with intensity. The tight camera …
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