Economy Growing at 3 Percent with Low Unemployment and Job Creation

2024-09-12

Inflation eased to new three-year lows, teeing up the Fed to begin gradually reducing interest rates at a meeting next week. But will they?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/
"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/
"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"

2024-09-10

Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting and rate drop predictions; 2-yr Treasury yields are reflective of rate expectations. Forward earnings revisions continue to ratchet downward; markets must reprice on expectations, impacting performance. Monday’s market rally was a disappointment; MACD sell signal is still in place. There are still barriers and resistance in the way of markets moving higher. This is not a good time to buy bonds. Lance and Jon look at what happens to stocks when a company is added to the S&P 500; why you should never track to an index: They’re not reality. Wall Street wants you perpetually upset because money movement and emotions create fees. Indexes do not pay fees or taxes. Five steps you can take to mitigate portfolio risk. Lance and Jon answer e-mail query

2024-09-04

Real-time data collection is key for accurate insights. Large companies providing real numbers, not estimates, is crucial for economic analysis. 📊 #DataCollection #Insights

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Entire show here: https://cstu.io/1ea4b0

2024-07-10

Markets can stay illogical longer than you can stay solvent! 💸 Stay strong and remain solvent in the tough fight of trading. 📈 #financialadvice
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2024-07-03

Yes, we’re on a break!
Lance and Brent & the Gang will return, live, on Monday, July 15, 2024.

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2024-06-27

Market volatility on the rise, Fed’s move crucial. Paying close attention is key to prevent potential snowball effect. #Fed #MarketVolatility #StockMarket #FedInsights

Michael Lebowitz discusses the market’s current downtrend and its potential to escalate into a larger financial concern. He highlights the importance of monitoring market signals and the role of the Federal Reserve.
– Impact of market deterioration and rising volatility
– Significance of increasing shorts in the market
– Potential for a snowball effect in market trends
– Critical importance of the Federal Reserve’s actions
– Implications of a possible rate cut by the Fed in July

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757

➢ Watch Live

2024-06-26

Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors’ common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don’t mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market.

2024-04-22

After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week’s PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally.

3:14 – Is the Correction Done?
14:35 – The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation
30:18 – Higher for Longer, not much