- USD/CHF is trading in a mini-range after pulling back from new highs.
- This is probably a pause before the pair goes to new highs.
USD/CHF is consolidating within its short-term uptrend in what is likely to be a temporary pull back before the market goes higher again.
The pair is probably in a short-term uptrend now given the rising sequence of peaks and troughs since it broke out of the range-bound consolidation in August and September.
USD/CHF 4-hour Chart
USD/CHF will probably reach the target generated after it broke out of the range, at 0.8680, the 100% Fibonacci (Fib) extrapolation of the height of the range higher. A break above 0.8641 (October 14 high) would provide confirmation. A break above that level could lead to a further extension to the 0.8750 resistance level (August 15 high).
USD/CHF has already met the conservative target at 0.8627, the 61.8% Fib level.
A chart gap opened on Monday morning and there is a risk the market could pull back all the way to fill this gap. If so, it could correct down to 0.8574. It would require a break below the former range highs at 0.8541 to confirm a probable change of trend.
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USD/CHF holds losses after soft US labor market data
2024-09-06
Pair bottomed at a low of 0.8375 and then recovered above 0.8400 but holds daily losses.
US August NFPs came in lower than expected, following this weak labor market data trend.
Investors might bet on a bigger cut in September from the Fed.
On Friday, the USD/CHF fell to a daily low of 0.8375 and then recovered back above 0.8400. The upside, however, is limited as the US reported weak labor market figures.
The US Dollar’s appeal diminished after the release of a lower-than-expected NFP report for August, which showed the creation of 142,000 new jobs, falling short of the 160,000 forecast but surpassing July’s revised figure of 89,000. The Unemployment Rate decreased as anticipated, moving from 4.3% to 4.2%. Additionally, Average Hourly Earnings increased by 3.8%
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