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Monthly Archive: June 2021

FX Daily, June 30: The Greenback is Firm into Quarter-End

2021-06-30

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2021-06-30

The dollar is finishing the quarter on firm footing, gaining against most of the major currencies today. The euro is straddling the $1.1900 area, having begun the month above $1.22. Sterling has tested the $1.38 area. It had traded at a three-year high near $1.4250 at the start of the month.

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The Lifeline of Markets – Liquidity Defined

2021-06-30

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2021-06-30

Dow Jones Industrial Average, Dec 1986 - 1987
We recently read an analogy in which the author compares the current state of asset prices to an airplane flying at 50,000 feet. Unfortunately, we cannot find the article and provide a link. The gist is market valuations are flying at an abnormally high altitude. While our market plane cannot sustain such heights in the long run, there is little reason to suspect it will fall from the sky either.

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German Stock Exchange Snaps up Swiss Cryptocurrency Firm

2021-06-30

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2021-06-30

The operators of Germany's main stock exchange have paid more than CHF100 million ($108 million) for a majority stake in Swiss cryptocurrency service provider Crypto Finance. The move reflects a growing trend of traditional financial institutions gearing themselves up for an anticipated growth in the trade of digital financial assets.

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A Clear Balance of Global Inflation Factors

2021-06-30

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2021-06-30

Europe HICP and Germany HICP, Jan 2007 - May 2021
Back at the end of May, Germany’s statistical accounting agency (deStatis) added another one to the inflationary inferno raging across the mainstream media. According to its flash calculations, German consumer prices last month had increased by the fastest rate in 13 years.

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FX Daily, June 29: Fear that the Mutating Virus Could Slow Recoveries Takes a Toll on Risk Appetites Ahead of Quarter-End

2021-06-29

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2021-06-29

Fear that the new mutation of the covid virus will slow the global recovery has sent ripples across the global capital markets. The foreign exchange market has the clearest reaction, and the dollar is bid.

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CEOs Profit as Workers Suffer from Pandemic, says Union

2021-06-29

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2021-06-29

While the Covid-19 pandemic has caused existential hardship for many employees, CEOs and shareholders have “shamelessly helped themselves”, according to a union study. “The pay gap remains wide open at a very high level,” trade union Unia wrote in its annual pay gap studyExternal link published on Tuesday.

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Inflation Isn’t Just The Outlier, The Inflation In It Is, Too

2021-06-29

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2021-06-29

PCE Deflator Fed, Jan 2017 - June 2021
Following the same recent pattern as the BLS and its CPI, the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s (BEA) PCE Deflator ran up hotter in May 2021 than its already high increase during April. The latter’s headline consumer basket rose 3.91% year-over-year, its fastest pace since August 2008.

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Inflation or Lockdown Whiplash?

2021-06-29

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2021-06-29

Mainstream analysis sees rising consumer prices, and looks for a monetary cause. Also, when it sees an increase in the quantity of dollars, it looks for rising consumer prices. It is a fact that the quantity of what the mainstream calls money (i.e. the dollar) has risen at an extraordinary rate.

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FX Daily, June 28: European Political Drama Kicks off Big Economic Week

2021-06-28

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2021-06-28

The global capital markets are off to a quiet start of what promises to be a busy week. Quarter and month-end adjustments, Japan's Tankan survey, the eurozone's preliminary June CPI, the US employment report, and an OPEC+ meeting are featured.

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UBS Boss says Switzerland is Falling Behind on Structural Change

2021-06-28

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2021-06-28

Swiss banks have some catching up to do when it comes to structural change and digitalisation, says Ralph Hamers, CEO of Swiss bank UBS. In his opinion structural change has taken place much faster in other countries and industries than in Switzerland.

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Airbus Launches Counter-Offensive on Fighter Jet Contract

2021-06-28

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2021-06-28

Ahead of the Swiss government’s decision on a major fighter jet contract, Airbus has made an appeal to the Swiss government to choose a European firm after leaked information from the government revealed US firm Lockheed Martin was out ahead of competitors.

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The Fed: Why Federal Spending Soared in 2020 but State and Local Spending Flatlined

2021-06-28

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2021-06-28

Federal Spending as a Percentage of All Government Spending in US, Jan 1929 - 2019
In the wake of the Covid Recession and the drive to pour ever larger amounts of “stimulus” into the US economy, the Federal Government in 2020 spent more than double—as a percentage of all government spending—of what all state and local governments spent in 2020, combined.

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America’s Social Order is Unraveling

2021-06-28

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2021-06-28

Inequality Income, 1980 - 2020
What kind of nation boasts a record-high stock market and an unraveling social order? Answer: a failed nation, a nation that has substituted artifice for realism for far too long, a nation that now depends on illusory phantoms of capital, prosperity and democracy to prop up a crumbling facade of "wealth" that the populace now understands is largely in the hands of a few families and corporations, most of which pay little to support the citizenry...

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#MacroView: Capitalism Does Not Equal Corporatism – Pt. 1

2021-06-28

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2021-06-28

U.S. Recessions/Banking Crises, 1812 - 2007
Furthermore, let’s understand what these debates are really about. The debates over capitalism aren’t about Mike Jones, who operates the local auto mechanic repair shop. Nor Annie Smith, the operator of a personal training studio. Mike and Annie are taking advantage of a capitalist economy. Capitalism provides the ability to earn more wealth than paid employment.

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Switzerland’s Battle of the Bees

2021-06-27

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2021-06-27

The risk to bees through pesticides and the ensuing effects on the world’s food crops have been the source of much debate. But do Swiss measures to support the domestic honeybee disadvantage the equally important wild bee?

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‘Switzerland can’t have its cake and eat it,’ says EU ambassador

2021-06-27

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2021-06-27

After rejecting the framework agreement with the European Union last month, Switzerland must now choose the model for interacting with the bloc’s internal market, says the EU ambassador to Switzerland. In an interviewExternal link with Le Temps newspaper on Friday, Petros Mavromichalis warned that the status quo was not an option for the EU.

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The Feds Collect Most of the Taxes in America—So They Have Most of the Power

2021-06-26

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2021-06-26

IRS Collections vs. State Tax Revenues
In 2021, it's clear Americans now have thrown off any notions of subsidiarity and instead embraced the idea that the federal government should be called upon to fund pretty much anything and everything. From "stimulus checks" to "paycheck protection," it's assumed an entire national workforce can be propped up by federal spending.

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Switzerland to open mass events and nightclubs to those with Covid certificates

2021-06-26

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2021-06-26

On 23 June 2021, Switzerland’s government announced that it was loosening a wide range of Covid-19 restrictions from Saturday. From Saturday, 26 June 2021 rules on nightclubs, large events, remote working, education and restaurants will be loosened. In addition, it will become easier for travelers to enter Switzerland.

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Is Gold Still in a Bull Market?

2021-06-26

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2021-06-26

Today Gareth Soloway, Chief Market Strategist of InTheMoneyStocks.com talks about his technical analysis of gold and silver as well as giving us insights in to the recent moves in Bitcoin and the stock markets. Recent comments from the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that they may need to raise rates in 2023 (2 years away!). This is primarily due to the continued excessive money printing fueling a surge in inflation. Inflation is...

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FX Daily, June 25: Tokyo Escapes Deflation, Leaving the Greenback Trapped between Two Expiring Options against the Yen

2021-06-25

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2021-06-25

New record highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ yesterday helped lift most Asia Pacific markets today. China and Hong Kong led the regional gains and were sufficient to lift the MSCI regional benchmark to halt a two-week drop.

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