Previous post Next post

Two charts to watch for the pulse on global growth

The global economy slowed in mid-2019 on the combination of higher interest rates and the trade war. Since then the Fed and others have lowered rates and now we have a ceasefire in the trade war.
Some things like real estate have quickly turned around and stock markets are clearly pricing in more of the same, yet manufacturing is still soft. A few manufacturing surveys were out today and the theme was a continue flatline.
A good spot to watch is the JPMorgan global PMI because it aggregates them. It started 2018 at 54 then slowly sank to 49.3 into mid-2019. The latest number was out today at 50.1, which is barely expanding and lower than the previous month.
The other spot to watch is AUD/USD. At the end of December it broke above the 200-day moving average for the first time in 23 months. That’s a great sign for the reflation and global growth trade.
Are you the author?
About Forexlive
Founded in 2008, ForexLive has been the go to source for both professional and retail traders from around the globe. Our core belief is that all traders want relevant and succinct trading information, and we deliver it 24 hours a day.
Previous post See more for 4.) Forex Live Next post

Permanent link to this article:

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.