Tag Archive: newsletter

KOF Economic Barometer: Falling

2018-08-30

by

2018-08-30

In August 2018, the KOF Economic Barometer fell slightly by 1.4 points to a new reading of 100.3. It thus now pints to a level that is only marginally above its long-term average. Accordingly, in the near future Swiss growth should hover around its average over the last ten years.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 30: Brexit Optimism Underpins Sterling

2018-08-30

by

2018-08-30

The US dollar is mostly firmer, while global equities are softer and bonds little changed.  The Turkish lira and South African rand remain under pressures.  However, there does not appear to be an overall theme in today's markets.   Disappointing data from Australia and New Zealand has seen the Antipodean currencies move lower.  New Zealand's business confidence fell to a ten-year low, and this sent the Kiwi tumbling.  Its nearly 0.9% fall...

Read More »

A Fake Brexit and the “Noble Dream” – Claudio Grass Speaks With Godfrey Bloom

2018-08-30

by

2018-08-30

Introductory Remarks: The “Anti-Politician” Godfrey Bloom, by PT Most of our readers will probably remember former UKIP chief whip and European Parliament representative Godfrey Bloom. As far as we know, he is the only politician who ever raised the issue of the workings of the fractionally reserved central bank-directed monetary system in the EU parliament. This system is of course central to the phenomenon of the recurring boom-bust sequences...

Read More »

COMCO declines to investigate watchmakers over cartel claims

2018-08-30

by

2018-08-30

The Swiss Competition Commission (COMCO) has decided not to open a formal investigation into watchmakers including Swatch, LVMH and Richemont over the supply of spare parts for independent watch repair shops.

Read More »

Swiss Job Numbers Up but too Few Qualified Workers

2018-08-29

by

2018-08-29

Job-numbers-Switzerland
In the second quarter of 2018, the number of jobs in Switzerland rose to 5.048 million, a 2.1% increase on the second quarter of 2017. Regions rising the most were Lake Geneva (+3.0%), north west Switzerland (+3.0%), central Switzerland (+2.4%) and Zurich (+2.1%). Rises in job numbers in eastern Switzerland (+1.6%), Mittelland (+1.3%) and Ticino (0%) were lower.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 29: Dollar Finds Support, but Downside Correction May Not be Over

2018-08-29

by

2018-08-29

The US dollar has steadied after pulling back in recent days, but the downside correction does not appear complete, and month-end flows are still a risk to picking a dollar-bottom. The Australian dollar is the weakest of the majors. The main drag is paradoxically Westpac, one of Australia's largest banks, raised the variable rate mortgage by 14 bp to 5.38%. Others are expected to follow.

Read More »

Here’s How We Ended Up with Predatory, Parasitic Elites

2018-08-29

by

2018-08-29

Income Inequality, 1913 - 2012
Combine financialization, neoliberalism and moral bankruptcy, and you end up with predatory, parasitic elites. How did our financial and political elites become predatory parasites? Some will answer that elites have always been predatory parasites; as tempting as it may be to offer a blanket denunciation of elites, this overlooks the eras in which elites rose to meet existential crises. Following in Ancient Rome's Footsteps: Moral Decay,...

Read More »

Anticipating How Welcome This Second Deluge Will Be

2018-08-29

by

2018-08-29

US Treasuries, Jan 2018 - Aug 2018
Effective federal funds (EFF) was 1.92% again yesterday. That’s now eight in a row just 3 bps underneath the “technically adjusted” IOER. If indeed the FOMC has to make another one to this tortured tool we know already who will be blamed for it.

Read More »

Günstig Land kaufen – Wie du profitabel kleine Grundstücke kaufst – mit Jack Bosch

2018-08-28

by

Land kaufen - Dein kostenloses Immopreneur Starterpaket für Immobilieninvesotren: http://bit.ly/immobilienstarter Im heutigen Interview habe ich Jack Bosch zu Gast. Wir sprechen darüber, wie du es schaffst mit einfach Methoden Land zu kaufen und so hohe Profite mitzunehmen. Jack ist Experte für Land flipping und hat sich in den letzten Jahren ein starkes Immobilienportfolio in den USA aufgebaut. Zusätzlich ist er als Coach tätig und hilft...

Read More »

Employment Barometer in the Q2 2018: Sharp Rise in Employment in Switzerland

2018-08-28

by

2018-08-28

Switzerland Employment Level, Q2 2018
In the 2nd quarter 2018, total employment (number of jobs) rose by 2.1% in comparison with the same quarter a year earlier (+0.4% with previous quarter). In full-time equivalents, employment in the same period rose by 2.0%. The Swiss economy counted 14 000 more vacancies than in the corresponding quarter of the previous year (+22.6%) and the employment outlook indicator is also indicating an upward trend (+1.1%). These are some of the findings from...

Read More »

FX Daily, August 28: Greenback Remains On Defensive

2018-08-28

by

2018-08-28

Corrective forces continue to weigh on the US dollar. Sometimes the narratives drive the price action and sometimes the price action drives the narratives. Currently the latter appears to hold sway. The dollar's downside correction began around the middle of the month, well before Powell's August 24 Jackson Hole speech.

Read More »

Government Reinforces Critical Infrastructure against Cyber Attacks

2018-08-28

by

2018-08-28

In the wake of several major cyber security attacks, the government has released minimum standards for companies and organisations to help protect the country’s critical energy, food, and water infrastructure. Some critics question whether a minimum standard goes far enough as basic services become increasingly dependent on digital technology.

Read More »

To Understand America’s Neofeudal Economy, Start with Extortion

2018-08-28

by

2018-08-28

US Inflation, 1996 - 2016
Let's spin the time machine back to the late Middle Ages, at the height of feudalism, and imagine we're trying to get a boatload of goods to the nearest city to sell. As we drift down the river, we're constantly being stopped and charged a fee for transiting one small fiefdom after another. When we finally reach the city, there's an entry fee for bringing our goods to market.

Read More »

Another Gold Bearish Factor, Report 26 August 2018

2018-08-27

by

2018-08-27

Gold and Silver Price
Last week, we said that the consensus is that gold must go down (as measured in terms of the unstable dollar) and then will rocket higher. We suggested that if everyone expects an outcome in the market, the outcome is likely not to turn out that way. We also said that this time, there is likely less leverage employed to buy gold and that gold is less leveraged as well.

Read More »

FX Daily, August 27: A Dog Day of Summer

2018-08-27

by

2018-08-27

Last week's dollar losses were initially extended in Asia before it came back bid. The euro briefly poked through $1.1650 for the first time in three weeks. However, the gains were sold into, and the euro finished the Asian session near $1.16, where there is a 782 mln euro option expiring, and 2.4 bln euros struck at $1.1625.

Read More »

FX Weekly Preview: Macroeconomic Considerations

2018-08-27

by

2018-08-27

The force that had pushed the US 10-year Treasury yield to 3% and the dollar above JPY113 at the start of the month, and the euro to $1.13 a couple of weeks ago has dissipated. The 10-year yield is near 2.80%. The dollar was near two-month lows against the yen a week ago, and the euro was back toward the middle of its previous $1.15-$1.18 trading range.

Read More »

Emerging Markets: Week Ahead Preview

2018-08-27

by

2018-08-27

EM FX was whipsawed last week but ended on a firm note. We look past the noise and believe that the true signals for EM remain higher US interest rates and continued trade tensions, both of which are negative. Turkish markets reopen after a week off. Nothing fundamentally has changed there, and so it still poses some spillover risk to wider EM.

Read More »

5 Things Investors Should Know About US Strategic Petroleum Reserves

2018-08-26

by

2018-08-26

US Department of Energy announced yesterday offered for delivery between October 1 and November 30, 11 mln barrels of sour crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves. The move has nothing to do with operationalizing President Trump's complaint that oil prices were too high. Instead, the sales are part of the fiscal compromise in 2015 budget legislation and the health care act of 2016.

Read More »

Swiss study recommends 38 weeks of parental leave

2018-08-26

by

2018-08-26

Mum and Dad
This week, a government commission gave its verdict on the vote, recommending two weeks of paternity leave instead of the four set out in the referendum’s text. Their commission’s main concerns are centred on the impact on companies and the cost of funding it.

Read More »

Q&A mit Thomas Knedel und Gerald Hörhan als Gast

2018-08-25

by

Q&A mit Thomas Knedel und Gerald Hörhan als Gast - Dein kostenloses Immopreneur Starterpaket für Immobilieninvesotren: http://bit.ly/immobilienstarter Dieses Video ist bei einem Livestream auf Facebook entstanden, in dem Thomas Knedel und Gerald Hörhan die Fragen der Community beantwortet haben. Jetzt für die Immopreneur Masterclass mit Thomas Knedel bewerben: ▶▶▶ https://thomasknedel.de Immopreneur.de: ▶ http://immopreneur.de...

Read More »