Tag Archive: gold price

Is The Bull Market Over For Gold?

2021-04-03

by

2021-04-03

Gold has not made new highs in many months. Gold peaked last year at US$2067 on August 6. The 7 month down leg of more than 18% as been deep enough and long enough that some commentators are now saying that the bull market has now turned to a bear market for gold.  Losing faith is understandable because falling prices feel bad. But this week we want to show that current prices may not reflect reality.

Read More »

Gold to $2,300 and Silver to $35 by Year End – 2021, the Year the Barometer Explodes?

2021-01-09

by

2021-01-09

The US dollar set for further dramatic declines?Negative interest rate policy spreadingIncreased global liquidity in attempt to ignite a recoveryDemocrats’ win paves way for massive stimulus packagesGold and silver set to rally strongly in a perfect storm.

Read More »

“We are expecting a new wave and we’re prepared for it.”

2020-05-15

by

2020-05-15

Gold Prices, 2015-2020
Interview with Robert Hartmann, Co-Owner ProAurum, Over the last couple of months, we’ve witnessed unprecedented changes in the global economy, in the markets and in our societies. The corona crisis and the governmental measures that were introduced had a dramatic and direct effect on all of us, as investors and as citizens. 

Read More »

Monetary Metals Gold Brief 2020

2020-02-03

by

2020-02-03

Gold Fundamental Price
We apologize for not posting articles during January. We have been busy, and going forward will publish a separate Market Report every Monday morning plus macroeconomics essays later in the week, as time permits.

Read More »

Wealth Consumption vs. Growth – Precious Metals Supply and Demand

2020-01-03

by

2020-01-03

Gold and Silver Prices
GDP – A Poor Measure of “Growth” Last week the prices of the metals rose $35 and $0.82. But, then, the price of a basket of the 500 biggest stocks rose 62. The price of a barrel of oil rose $1.63. Even the euro went up a smidgen. One thing that did not go up was bitcoin. Another was the much-hated asset in the longest bull market. We refer to the US Treasury.

Read More »

Open Letter to John Taft, Report 17 Dec

2019-12-18

by

2019-12-18

Silver Basis and Co-basis and the Dollar Price
Dear Mr. Taft: I eagerly read your piece Warriors for Opportunity on Wednesday, as I often do about pieces that argue that capitalism is not working today. You begin by saying: “Financial capitalism – free markets powered by a robust financial system – is the dominant economic model in the world today. Yet many who have benefited from the system agree it’s not working the way it ought to.”

Read More »

The End of an Epoch, Report 8 Dec

2019-12-10

by

2019-12-10

“There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose.”

Read More »

Money and Prices Are a Dynamic System, Report 1 Dec

2019-12-03

by

2019-12-03

Gold and Silver Prices
The basic idea behind the Quantity Theory of Money could be stated as: too much money supply is chasing too little goods supply, so prices rise. We have debunked this from several angles. For example, we can use a technique that every first year student in physics is expected to know. Dimensional analysis looks at the units on both sides of an equation.

Read More »

Raising Rates to Fight Inflation, Report 24 Nov

2019-11-26

by

2019-11-26

Physics students study mechanical systems in which pulleys are massless and frictionless. Economics students study monetary systems in which rising prices are everywhere and always caused by rising quantity of currency. There is a similarity between this pair of assumptions. Both are facile. They oversimplify reality, and if one is not careful they can lead to spectacularly wrong conclusions.

Read More »

The Perversity of Negative Interest, Report 17 Nov

2019-11-18

by

2019-11-18

Gold and Silver Prices
Today, we want to say two things about negative interest rates. The first is really simple. Anyone who believes in a theory of interest that says “the savers demand interest to compensate for inflation” needs to ask if this explains negative interest in Switzerland, Europe, and other countries. If not, then we need a new theory (Keith just presented his theory at the Austrian Economics conference at King Juan Carlos University in Madrid—it is...

Read More »

What’s the Price of Gold in the Gold Standard, Report 10 Nov

2019-11-12

by

2019-11-12

Gold Price
Let’s revisit a point that came up in passing, in the Silver Doctors’ interview of Keith. At around 35:45, he begins a question about weights and measures, and references the Coinage Act of 1792. This raises an interesting set of issues, and we have encountered much confusion (including from one PhD economist whose dissertation committee was headed by Milton Friedman himself).

Read More »

Targeting nGDP Targeting, Report 3 Nov

2019-11-05

by

2019-11-05

Gold and Silver Prices
Not too long ago, we wrote about the so called Modern Monetary so called Theory (MMT). It is not modern, and it is not a theory. We called it a cargo cult. You’d think that everyone would know that donning fake headphones made of coconut shells, and waving tiki torches will not summon airplanes loaded with cargo. At least the people who believe in this have the excuse of being illiterate.

Read More »

Bitcoin Myths, Report 27 Oct

2019-10-28

by

2019-10-28

Keith gave a keynote address—the only speaker with an hour to cover his topic—at the Gold and Alternative Investments Conference in Sydney on Saturday. Said topic was the nature of money. “Money is a matter of functions four: a medium, a measure, a standard, a store.”

Read More »

Wealth Accumulation Is Becoming Impossible, Report 20 Oct

2019-10-22

by

2019-10-22

Gold and Silver Prices
We talk a lot about the falling interest rate, the too-low interest rate, the near-zero interest rate, the zero interest rate, and the negative interest rate. Hat Tip to Switzerland, where Credit Suisse is now going to pay depositors -0.85%. That is, if you lend your francs to this bank, they take some of them every year. Almost 1% of them.

Read More »

Motte and Bailey Fallacy, Report 13 Oct

2019-10-15

by

2019-10-15

Gold and Silver Prices
This week, we will delve into something really abstract. Not like monetary economics, which is so simple even a caveman can do it. We refer to a clever rhetorical trick. It’s when someone makes a broad and important assertion, in very general terms. But when challenged, the assertion is switched for one that is entirely uncontroversial but also narrow and unimportant.

Read More »

Chinese Buy Gold In Large Volume In Holiday Week as Gold Jewelry Sales ‘Soar’

2019-10-08

by

2019-10-08

Spot Gold Price USD
Gold is marginally lower today at $1,503/oz and stocks are mixed ahead of what are set to be tense U.S. and China trade negotiations. Gold sales are expected to accelerate through the end of the year due to weakening global economic conditions, according to Mike McGlone, a Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist as quoted by China Daily (see below).

Read More »

A Wealth Tax Consumes Capital, Report 6 Oct

2019-10-07

by

2019-10-07

Gold and Silver Prices
It seems one cannot make a name for one’s self on the Left, unless one has a proposal to tax wealth. Academics like Tomas Piketty have proposed it. And now the Democratic candidates for president in the US propose it too, while Jeremy Corbyn proposes it in the UK. Venezuela finally added a wealth tax in July.

Read More »

The Purchasing Power of Capital, Report 29 Sep

2019-10-01

by

2019-10-01

Gold and Silver Prices
We discuss capital consumption all the time, because it is the megatrend of our era. However, capital consumption is an abstract idea. So let’s consider some concrete examples, to help make it clearer. First, let’s look at the case of Timothy Housetrader. Tim has a small two-bedroom house. Next door, his neighbor Ian Idjit, owns a four-bedroom house which is twice the size.

Read More »

Treasury Bond Backwardation, Report 22 Sep

2019-09-24

by

2019-09-24

Repo Rate Graph, 2014-2019
Something happened in the credit market this week. A Barron’s article about it began: “There have been disruptions in the plumbing of U.S. markets this week. While the process of fixing them was bumpy, it was more of a technical mishap than a cause for investor concern.” Keep Calm and Carry On. So, before they tell us what happened, they tell us it’s just plumbing, it’s been fixed, and that we should not be concerned.

Read More »

Why Are People Now Selling Their Silver? Report 15 Sep

2019-09-17

by

2019-09-17

Gold and Silver Prices
This week, the prices of the metals fell further, with gold -$18 and silver -$0.73. On May 28, the price of silver hit its nadir, of $14.30. From the last three days of May through Sep 4, the price rose to $19.65. This was a gain of $5.35, or +37%. Congratulations to everyone who bought silver on May 28 and who sold it on Sep 4.

Read More »