Tag Archive: Financial crises

Jim Grant: “Markets Trust Too Much In The Presence Of Central Banks”

2017-12-15

James Grant, Wall Street expert and editor of the renowned investment newsletter «Grant’s Interest Rate Observer», warns of the unseen consequences of super low interest rate and questions the extraordinary actions of the Swiss National Bank. Nearly ten years after the financial crisis, extraordinary monetary policy has become the norm.

Read More »

The Savings Rate Conundrum

2017-11-08

by Lance Roberts

2017-11-08

Median Disposable Income and Debt Ratio, 1967 - 2015

The economy is booming. Employment is at decade lows. Unemployment claims are at the lowest levels in 40-years. The stock market is at record highs and climbing. Consumers are more confident than they have been in a decade. Wages are finally showing signs of growth.

Read More »

The Global Housing Bubble Is Biggest In These Cities

2017-09-30

by Tyler Durden

2017-09-30

Two years ago, when UBS looked at the world's most expensive housing markets, it found that London and Hong Kong were the only two areas exposed to bubble risk.What a difference just a couple of years makes, because in the latest report by UBS wealth Management, which compiles the bank's Global Real Estate Bubble Index, it found that eight of the world's largest cities are now subject to a massive speculative housing bubble.

Read More »

Is The Swiss National Bank A Fraud?

2017-09-24

by Tyler Durden

2017-09-24

The price of shares in The Swiss National Bank is up 11 days in a row, soaring 150% in the last two months. That sounds like a 'tulip' bubble-like 'fraud'... The SNB is up over 120% in Q3 so far - more than double 'bubble' Bitcoin...

Read More »

Swiss Banks Paid Out €1 Billion In Negative Interest Rates In The First Half

2017-08-01

by Tyler Durden

2017-08-01

Investment Structure at the end of Q2 2017

Overnight, the Swiss National Bank disclosed the composition and breakdown of its FX reserves as of June 30. There were no notable changes, as the central bank kept most of its asset allocations unchanged from the previous quarter, with equities, government bonds and "other bonds", at 20%, 68% and 12% respectively. There were also no shifts in the currency composition as shown in the table below.

Read More »

Are Rate Hikes Bad For Gold?

2017-02-24

by Mike Shedlock

2017-02-24

Here are two different looks at Fed rate hikes since Volcker. The charts are the same, but one presentation is a lot funnier than the other. Let’s take the fist chart and see what correlations exist between rate hikes and the US dollar index.

Read More »

The VIX Will Be Over 100 due to Central Bank Created Tail Risk

2017-02-07

by EconMatters

2017-02-07

We discuss the manner in which Central Banks have destroyed financial markets, and have the stage for what I label as the Red Swan Event in this video. When the Swiss National Bank holds risky Tech stocks in its portfolio, we are in unchartered territory!

Read More »

Risk Reward Analysis for Financial Markets

2017-01-08

by EconMatters

2017-01-08

We focus this video regarding the potential upside for stocks versus the considerable downside risk for investors. All Technical Analysis is flawed and backward looking, it is a Critical Thinking flaw to extrapolate the future from the most recent past. I want to know the next market move, and not still be stuck on the most recent market move. And the most important fact of all is valuations, stocks are in a bubble right now due to Central Banks...

Read More »

BIS: The VIX is Dead, The Dollar is the new “Fear Indicator”

2016-11-20

by Tyler Durden

2016-11-20

Leverage of US securities broker-dealer sector

Over the past few years, one of the recurring themes on this website has been an ongoing discussion of how the VIX has lost its predictive value as a market risk indicator. This culminated recently with a note by Russel Clark who explained in clear term why the "VIX is now broken." Today, in a fascinating note Hyun Song Shin, head of research at the Bank for International Settlements, the "central banks' central bank" has agreed with the...

Read More »