George Dorgan held a presentation at the CFA society in Zurich on September 1, 2014, four months before the end of the EUR/CHF peg.
The subjects of his speech were:
- Reasons why the EUR/CHF exchange rate will fall under 1.20
- The missing link in the CFA program between its chapters on micro-economy, macro and currencies
(or as Harvard professor Simon Wren Lewis says: missing micro-foundations) - Does history repeat? From Bretton Woods to Bretton Woods 2 and its slow end. Why the unexpected, the black swan happens more often than you think.
- The slow end of Bretton Woods 2: rise and fall of the global carry trade and debt-driven growth
- The contention that the Swiss franc must depreciate is often based on a simplified view on currency drivers and on “solely” one piece of the balance of payments. An evaluation must take place in full assessment of all drivers.
George Dorgan at the CFA Society
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References:
Here the slides on the site at the CFA Society
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