Category Archive: 9) Personal Investment

(11/1/22) Following the best October in the Dow since 1975, investors are wondering whether markets can replicate last month's performance. Futures this morning are pointing higher ahead of this week's Fed meeting in which interest rates are expected to get another 75-bp goosing. The real question, however, is whether the Fed is about to begin tapering the velocity or intensity of its rate hikes. The Fed's "Terminal Rate" is expected to...

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(11/1/22) The Roberts' Halloween Recap; What is the Fed watching for: Inflation and Employment (and their rates of change); the velocity of money is slowing; CEO Confidence is falling; No Powerball Winner; winners usually lose; Markets commentary: Use any rally to raise cash ahead of repricing of earnings; things change: What is the "Cure de Jour" the Fed will use next? Why doesn't the Fed make changes in anticipation of problems to...

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(10/31/22) Despite the Big Tech Sell-off, the Dow is on track for its best performance since the 1930's, up over 14% heading into today's Halloween session. Markets continue to do technically very well from a bullish perspective. Markets soared above the critical 3,800 level last week, the initial resistance level that would set markets up for a rally. Indeed, the S&P is now positioned to rally up to somewhere between 3,900 and 4,100....

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(10/31/22) Market action has been a textbook case of achieving support with no resistance up to 4,100; we're advising selling into the rally and prepare for a negative market trend into the end of the year; The Dow is up 14% for the year; it's the best year of performance since 1938. Watch for the Fed to announce a slowing of its rate hike pace, but not a pivot. Shrinkflation in Halloween candy: Prices are up 30% over last year. Consumer Spending...

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