Category Archive: 9d) Fund and Hedge Funds

History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline, leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking...

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As an investor, you don’t want to concentrate your bets — you want diversification, so you’re protected in different economic environments. That’s why alternative assets like gold are so valuable in balancing your portfolio. @TheProfGPod

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My first real job was caddying, and it changed my life. It was the 1960s, and the people I was caddying for were always talking about the stock market. So, I took my caddying money and bought Northeast Airlines because it was the only company I had heard of that was selling for less than $5 a share. Little did I know, but the stock was so cheap because they were about to go broke. But I got lucky and they got acquired, so I tripled my money....

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This simple animated video series answers the question, "How does the #economy really work?" Based on my practical template for understanding the economy. This series breaks down economic concepts like #credit, #deficits and #interest rates, allowing viewers to learn the basic driving forces behind the economy, how economic policies work and why economic cycles occur. This is Part 5, I hope you find these helpful.

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#Trust your gut. @FindingMastery

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I sat down with CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin to discuss his latest book, 1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History — and How It Shattered a Nation. A lot of what Andrew learned researching this book is analogous to what happened during the 2008 financial crisis, and also to what is happening today. That’s because history moves in cycles — the same cause-effect relationships are at play, and there are important lessons to be learned....

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The U.S.'s debts are on the edge of becoming unmanageable to the point where it could default if conditions are not changed. But this problem isn’t a unique one. It has happened many times in history, which is why I believe studying the past is so important. The same cycles repeat over and over again, and there are important lessons we can learn from those experiences. I recently met with Bloomberg @markets ahead of the UN Ocean Conference to...

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This year, the US will spend 40% more than it’s taking in. This number is increasing each year — and our debt plays a major role. This is a big problem, especially because cutting our spending is a difficult political issue. And as we continue to add to the debt, the supply-demand picture worsens. I fear that we are approaching the point where we won’t be able to rectify it. @TheProfGPod

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The way I see it, any serious effort to solve the debt crisis will likely come too late. It’s a timing issue. 2026 is a midterm election year — politicians won’t want to take the painful steps needed to improve our economic picture: cutting spending, raising taxes, and the like. Any sort of bipartisan effort that comes after will both take time and be unlikely to be effective, because those commissions generally don’t work very well in practice....

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In the late 1970’s, I calculated that we were going to have a global debt default. I was so confident in what that meant for the markets that I went to Congress to share my perspective. I couldn’t have been more wrong. While several countries defaulted on their debt, the impact on markets was the opposite of what I expected. And I lost a lot of money — for me and for my clients. I had to let all of my employees go. But it was the best experience...

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