Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

Filter archive by: Show All Show only Articles Show only Videos

Can the Rally Last? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-31

by

(5/31/22) Markets are ending the month of May with a nice rally in the previous week--but can it last? There are still a lot of companies that are offsides in market allocations in terms of equities as well as in bonds--anyone with a 60/40 allocation is out of whack. Much of the remaining rebalancing will have to be accomplished in the final month of the quarter: June. Volatility, however, has not been suggesting the recent rally can stand. What...

Read More »

What Markets are Trying to Tell the Fed

2022-05-31

by

(5/31/22) Markets prepare to wrap up May, and enter the final month of the Second Quarter, and how investors can take advantage; why inflationary pressures remain; how Washington's idiocy made inflation worse...and some Senators want to repeat the process. Oil Company margins are no better now, thanks to inflation of labor and materials, and higher costs of extraction. How trapped-longs can finally get out; why the Fed is behind the curve in...

Read More »

High Inflation May Already Be Behind Us

2022-05-30

by

2022-05-30

High inflation has captured the headlines as of late particularly as CPI recently hit the highest levels since 1981. Some are even suggesting we will face hyperinflation. However, while inflation is certainly present, the question to be answered is whether it will remain that way, or if the worst may already be behind us?

Read More »

Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb

2022-05-28

by

(5/27/22) (5/27/22) Will the Memorial Day weekend see lots of "revenge travel?" Never under-estimate the ability of a bear market to suck you in one more time; a reflexive rally is not an all-clear sign for investors. Listen to screeching sound of a dead-cat bounce; how are companies responding; how long can a reflexive rally last? ESG funds are just S&P funds in a green skirt. Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb. Why Target Date Fund...

Read More »

Snap Goes The Economy

2022-05-27

by

2022-05-27

“…the macro environment has deteriorated further and faster than we anticipated when we issued our quarterly guidance last month.” -Snap CEO Evan Spiegel

Read More »

Investing So Easy a Monkey Can Do It…until the bubble bursts.

2022-05-26

by

(5/30/22) As the markets go, so goes the year: The way we look at financial markets is very different from the way the Fed looks at financial markets. Keep in mind where we've come from, and where we are today: How inflation was created, and the mistake everyone made was that growth in the economy was organic...but in reality was fueled by all the liquidity that had been injected into the economy; the problem of not having an investing strategy....

Read More »

How Much Room Does the Market Have? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-26

by

(5/26/22) Good news for markets as they try to establish a bottom and set up for a counter-trend rally. Stock prices peaked in March, and since then have had a tough time. The MACD signal has been in a downward trend, applying downward pressure to pricing at the same time. Wednesday's rally triggered a MADC Buy-signal for the first time in 8-weeks. Markets have been stabilizing and forming consistent bottom levels. With the MACD signal in place,...

Read More »

The Federal Reserve: Two Hikes & Done?

2022-05-26

by

(5/26/22) 2022 is turning out to be one of the roughest years ever for market investors; where investors are most likely to make mistakes; How aggressive will the Fed be on interest rates? No one is surprised at Meta's fraud issues; the question of blockchain integrity; software security will be an ongoing business & investing opportunity; what will the Fed's next action mean for markets? The Fed looks at markets differently than do investors;...

Read More »

Bonds Are Turning a Corner | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-25

by

(5/25/22) Bonds have started to turn a corner in recent weeks, picking up their non-correlation relative to equity prices--exactly what you want if you're using bonds as a hedge against a stock sell-off. Taking a look at interest rates for hints of where rates are heading reveals much about the economy, and where it's heading, as well. As slowing in April of the rate of growth of inflation allowed interest rates to rise, so did May's reports of...

Read More »

Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich

2022-05-25

by

(5/25/22) Selling pressures continue in the markets, stringing together the most losing weeks since 1928, underscoring the importance of bonds as markets shift from inflation to growth priorities. Correlations and Causations of the Uvalde Shootings: coincidence of increased violence with growth in social media; the velocity of information makes it too easy to react & respond. Why catfish live longer; the rich who want to raise taxes...and the...

Read More »

Will Markets Give Up All of Monday’s Gains? | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-24

by

(5/24/22) Markets were able to hold support at last week's lows--and important test of the bottom, and a set up for a double-bottom. Unfortunately, markets are pointing lower following Snapchat's poor report, which is weighing on FAANG stocks, which in turn are placing a drag on the S&P. A commonality of recent weeks has been a rally that gets sold-into, which has been the heart of the negative pressure on the 20-DMA. Price declines are also...

Read More »

Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way

2022-05-24

by

(5/24/22) Thanks to Snapchat and Mega, and their impact on FAAG stocks, markets sold off last week's gains. Price action remains negative; is relief on the horizon? LA Port activity smoothing out. Bad geopolitical news further weighs on markets, investors, and advisors: How to handle negative news in making investing decisions. At Davos 2022, Ray Daleo says "cash is trash;" why does the Dollar continue to strengthen" We're the...

Read More »

Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-23

by

(5/23/22) Breaking through the markets' 20% barrier does not a bear market make, regardless of breathless media commentary. 20% off today's S&P is merely a correction, thanks to the lone-term bullish trend of rising prices remains well intact. On Friday, buying came in in the late afternoon, holding onto support established earlier last week. Markets are looking to move higher this morning--an indication that the bottom could hold, and the...

Read More »

Why the Recession Will Be Here Later than Expected

2022-05-23

by

(5/23/22) The Dow is now stringing together 8-weeks of losses--its worst performance since the 1920's. Contrary to media claims of a bear market, the 20% drop is but a correction on the road to Bubblization: This will be The Most Forecasted Recession in history. Graduation Weekend at the Roberts' house; Davos 2022 = Pinky & The Brain. When all the experts agree, something else is bound to happen; why buy & hold doesn't work at the wrong end...

Read More »

Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement

2022-05-21

by

(5/20/22) Waiting for the Bounce: Some people just aren't cut out to invest in stocks; Richard Rosso's Investing Opera; Why does Elon Musk want Twitter? Musk says ESG is a scam; ORFN--the anti-woke fund; the truth about Bitcoin; the positives of a Bear Markets: needed cleansing. How we're managing against inflation. Why you shouldn't benchmark to the top. Gasoline prices & biking in Houston; Healthcare costs in Retirement; using HSA's as a...

Read More »

Warnings from Target Sink Stocks: What’s Next? REV | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-19

by

(5/19/22) Target and Walmart's warnings about future earnings pulled the rug out from under stocks Wednesday, essentially reversing all of the previous gains, going back to last week. The data suggests a recession is near, if not already here. (We raised cash in anticipation of the worst.) The current level of resistance will be important for markets to break above in order to get the rally back on track. Negative money flows have improved,...

Read More »

The Market Reversal Episode (5/19/22): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief Inves…

2022-05-19

by

#Markets #Money #Investing

Read More »

Is the Reflex Rally Over?

2022-05-18

by

Target and Walmart reporting less than expected earnings, and missing by a mile, as they cite higher price pressure and building inventories. This would suggest we have likely seen the peak of inflation, along with slower consumer activity--both are pre-recessionary indicators that are also disinflationary.

Read More »

Consumer Sugar-rush is Over – What To Do Now?

2022-05-18

by

(5/18/22) What misses by Amazon, Target, and WalMart are telling us about the state of the consumer, which is the backbone of the economy. Markets remain in a well-defined downtrend, but are working off an over-sold status. All the free money that came into the economy is gone--here comes the post-sugar rush crash. The part of Keynesian Economics that everyone misses; Why proprietary investment vehicles might not be a good idea: No transferability...

Read More »

How to Use Market Rally to Reduce Risk | 3:00 on Markets & Money

2022-05-17

by

(5/17/22) Stocks are looking to open sharply higher following yesterday's consolidation and advance. This makes three "green" days in a row, providing more lift to markets in the short term. Our initial target on SPY is still 416--at the 20-DMA, the first level of resistance, and also part of the current downtrend. The next level up will be 430 or 431. We will want to use any rally to dell into and reduce risk. If markets are able to...

Read More »