Category Archive: 9a.) Real Investment Advice

Filter archive by: Show All Show only Articles Show only Videos

The REAL Reason Jerome Powell is Protecting the Markets

2021-12-17

by

Markets respond positively to Fed plans for three rate hikes in 2022...and more to come; What's Jerome Powell really doing? Wrapping up 2021 & prepping for '22: Headwinds we're seeing next year; why stronger dollar will stunt economic growth. ------ 1:11 -What the Fed Said; What the Markets Did; What's next 11:55 - Why Jerome Powell is Really Protecting the Markets 27:55 - How to Position Your Portfolio for 2022 41:53 - Why a Stronger Dollar...

Read More »

Don’t Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News

2021-12-16

by

(12/16/21) Markets loved the Fed's announcement that tapering will commence, and the rate of change in rates will be accelerate: Three interest rate hikes in 2022, and three more in 2023. If inflation continues to rage (now termed "non-transitory"), there is a likelihood those rate hikes will become even more fast and furious. This more-hawkish mood of the Fed did not deter markets, rising sharply on the announcement, and the S&P...

Read More »

As the Fed rolls out its plan, what’s the best way to use your cash?

2021-12-16

by

Is the Fed replicating policy mistakes of the past? A look at the metamorphosis of Jerome Powell, and an examination of Retail vs Internet Sales this holiday season. ------ 1:35 - The Fed is About to Do Nothing Unexpected 12:46 - Why The Fed is Doing It Backwards 28:45 - Candid Coffee 1/15/22 Preview 30:27 - A Roberts Christmas 32:10 - The Evolution of Jerome Powell 42:53 - Retail vs Internet Sales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist...

Read More »

How to Set Stop Limits

2021-12-15

by

(12/15/21) Here's an inside look at the technical parameters we use to set up stop losses on positions in our portfolios. "Setting a stop" is like drawing a line in the sand, beyond which you are not willing to lose money on a stock. Let's look at Apple--a stock that's currently trading at three standard deviations above its moving average--which is very extended, and ripe for a pullback. The first thing you might want to do is take...

Read More »

Fed to make statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets beginning to look more unhealthy

2021-12-15

by

The Fed is set to make a statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets have begun to feel the lessening of liquidity injections; markets' meteoric performance is being sustained by a handful of large-cap companies: behind the scenes, it's bleak. ------ 1:17 - What Happens When the Fed Steps on the Brakes? 12:28 - The Market Wipe-out Behind the Scenes 28:22 - Investing for Liquidity: What Happens When There are No Buyers? 42:23 - Why the Market...

Read More »

Bitcoin down two standard deviations below 50-DMA

2021-12-14

by

(12/14/21) Market trading could get sloppy with the Fed on deck tomorrow to talk about monetary tapering...and options expirations on Friday spurring traders to reposition. The 20-DMA is just below where markets are sitting. Bollinger Bands are not too far above current highs. Markets are oversold, so working that off could set up for a rally into the year's end. Interestingly, while the major markets have been holding onto all-time highs, in the...

Read More »

Why Changing CPI Calculations Matter

2021-12-14

by

Options Expirations on Friday and the Fed's discussions this week on rate hikes will make for sloppy markets; Signs of Market Exuberance; How IPO's really work; What Inflation will do next; changing CPI calculations; Jackson-5 Index; why we don't own gold...yet. ------ 1:32 - Why Rate Hikes DO Matter...at some point 12:47 - Signs of Market Exuberance 28:50 - Why CPI Doesn't Match Reality 42:46 - Why We Don't Own Gold Now Hosted by RIA Advisors...

Read More »

Markets This Week Might Be Set Up for Sloppy Trading

2021-12-13

by

(12/13/21) Events this week could set up for a period of sloppy trading, including the Fed meeting on Wednesday to discuss monetary policy--and whether or not they'll raise rates faster than expected--as well as Options Expirations on Friday; portfolio rebalancing and window dressing should then lead to the end of year Santa Claus Rally. A good "buy" signal is in place, and money flows are improving. Markets are temporarily over-bought...

Read More »

How Do You Know You’re Getting Bad Financial Advice

2021-12-09

by

Still Christmas Shopping?? Give it up...implications of re-opening the economy w wage inflation; short covering into a rally; Bad financial advice usually involves money in motion to create fees; how to tell good advice from bad; 30-yr mortgages, Roth conversions, and lending to family. ------ 0:23 - Re-opening the Economy & Wage Inflation 12:41 - Money in Motion Creates Fees 28:41 - How Can You Tell Bad Financial Advice from Good? 42:42 - Why...

Read More »

Is the “Short-Term” Rally Here to Stay?

2021-12-08

by

(12/8/21)Is the "short-term" rally actually here to stay? Markets have broken out of the short-term downtrend of the past two weeks WITH Conviction! As markets open higher, sustainability becomes the big question. Money Flow indicators and MACD's are turning positive, coinciding with the traditional Santa Claus rally in late December. However, next week's Fed meeting could reveal more market weakness. The VIX is collapsing back towards...

Read More »

And the Number-one Problem This Week Is…

2021-12-08

by

The Markets' sell-off has not been unexpected; there are now as many NASDAQ stocks down 20-50% from their highs as there were in Dec 2018, in mid-Taper Tantrum--thanks to Apple, Google, Microsoft, & NVDIA. Market Predictions & Problems; when Liquidity leaves. ------ 0:24 - Why We Expected the Market Sell-off 11:23 - It's the Most Wonderful (Prediction) Time of the Year 27:22 - The Number One Problem...this week (now, it's inflation) 41:22...

Read More »

Market Rebound Continues

2021-12-07

by

(12/7/21) Markets continue to rebound, as expected, heading towards mid-month. Markets are now set to rally toward the 20-DMA, but we're not quite finished with Mutual Fund rebalancing, and there is still short-term risk. Getting into early 2022, the Fed will captivate investor attention, and whether and when it will tighten QE. Also look for 2022 headwinds in the form of lower profit margins, higher rates of inflation, wage-growth and employment...

Read More »

Should You Be Taking Profits Now?

2021-12-07

by

What's really driving Wall Street? Value Stocks have been performing because they haven't worked this year; The liquidity Issue, Managing Risk, and lowering expectations for returns; the Math of Losing Money; why outlooks are always optimistic; don't be afraid to take profits! ------ 02:01 - What is Actually Driving the Market? 12:49 - The Liquidity Issue & Managing Risk 28:42 - Sell Something! 42:47 - Wrapping the Year & 2022 Outlook...

Read More »

Is it Time for Value? Risk-off Shift Into Value Stocks Takes Hold

2021-12-06

by

"(12/6/21) Markets are fairly over-sold on multiple levels; but with MACD sell-signals still in place, there remains short-term risk to the downside. Markets are in a very defined downtrend with support holding at the 50-DMA. We're seeing a risk-off rotational shift into more value-oriented stocks--also what you'd expect to see when mutual funds execute their capital gains distributions at the end of the year. We anticipate this activity to...

Read More »

Will Social Security Be there for You?

2021-12-04

by

Inflation is running more rampant than Government reports reflect; what we're recommending for our clients; The demographics of Social Security are unsustainable; how to plan for how much (or how little) you'd get; Long Term Care planning is a necessity; Medicare vs Medigap coverage: Which is best? ------ 01:29 - Watching Inflation Run 12:20 - The Demographics of Social Security 28:19 - Lance Roberts Action Figures 29:25 - Planning for Long Term...

Read More »

Stock Market Crash of 2000 Review (12/2/21): Market Analysis & Commentary from RIA Advisors Chief…

2021-12-03

by

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

Read More »

What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates

2021-12-02

by

After the run-up and market correction, now's the time to reposition portfolios for optimal risk management; low-priced stocks are priced low for a reason; investing vs speculation; the Omicron Correction; what Gold's behavior says about real rates; why the hit in Tech? When the ARKK springs a leak ------ 0:00 -The Reality of Risk vs Reward, Investing vs Speculating 11:19 - What Gold is Telling us About Real Rates 22:59 - How do You Fix a Leak...

Read More »

Is There More Selling to be Done?

2021-12-02

by

(12/2/21) The market sell-off continues, thanks to the Omicron variant. So how should you position your portfolio now? There is a combination of technical indicators and market seasonality that are presenting challenges as well as opportunities. Markets were going to sell, regardless of the reason--Omicron is the headline de jour markets are assigning to the sell-off event. It could just have easily been the Apple weak iPhone sales announcement....

Read More »

To Roth or Not to Roth? (12/1/21): Market Analysis & Personal Finance commentary from RIA Advisor…

2021-12-02

by

➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More....

Read More »

How to Know the Right Time to Buy

2021-12-01

by

Preparing for the market correction is about to pay off: Start making your list of possible buys; watching the technicals for the right time to buy; is a Roth the right choice for you? Demographics are Destiny: What happens to Social Security? The story behind oil prices; the story behind iBonds. ------ 0:00 - How to Put Money Back to Work 11:22 - To Roth or Not to Roth? 22:52 - What's Up with Oil Prices? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment...

Read More »