Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

As predicted, markets finished lower on Tuesday, violating the 20-DMA and setting up markets for a moderate rebound today. 4,160 will be the new resistance level. If sell-signals remain in place through the end of the week, that will suggest more weakness in markets, and more downward pressure on prices.

Read More »

Markets have a laser-focus on upcoming Jackson Hole conference; is the Fed going to get more aggressive in dealing with inflation? Expectations for a more persistent level of inflation The Housing market is in the early stages of recession.

Read More »

(8/23/22) Friday's market sell-off is followed by mayhem on Monday, with the worst day of performance since the market found its bottom back in July. Markets sliced clean through levels of support yesterday and this morning are poised for a mild opening; we don't think it will be able to stick, however, as the 20-DMA is retested. Will Markets follow the trendline established for the past 20-weeks? The 100-DMA of 4080 is likely a more logical level...

Read More »

(8/23/22) Markets slice through the 100-DMA; potential impact of the coming Jackson Hole extravaganza; We export inflation and import cheap stuff; how to navigate through stagflation; back to college, self-checking at Walmart, Full-service filling stations; the saga of Meme Stocks; don't try to always make money in the market; outperforming a down market is key to success. Watch for slower economic growth as Fed continues to tighten; how Zoome...

Read More »

(8/22/22) Over-extended markets sold off on Friday after breaching the 50-DMA, and ran into resistance at the 200-DMA. This 9-week rally aligns with similar bear market rallies historically; one thing we're looking for is a sell-signal in the MACD indicator. The money flow indicator is also showing a sell-signal, suggesting some downward pressure follow-through this morning (futures are pointing lower.) The first support test will be at the 20-DMA....

Read More »

(8/22/22) The Roberts' House Squirrel Infestation; Historic stats on Bear Market Rallies: 30% of the 17% market gain is on the backs of four stocks: Apple, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla; Why 40% of executives are rescinding job offers; why we'll be lucky to hit 1% GDP in 2023; check out our "Five for Friday" report; comparing stock fundamentals to ETF performance; what's going to happen when ETF's sell-off? How Reddit ran up the price of...

Read More »

Why the markets are feeling very "beary;" Fed pivot talk is ridiculous; future Jobs cuts are going to be more white-collar; spending habits are shifting; The cost of raising children should be birth control enough; What happens when the Bank of Mom & Dad helps kids with mortgages;

Read More »

(8/18/22) Apple is considering "Friend-shoring" production of its iPods and other devices to Vietnam because the labor is cheaper and the political risks are lower. It's no longer PC to describe the movement of production to foreign countries as "off-shoring." The "re-shoring" of production to the US is economically un-feasible because of the high cost of labor. It is a false-paradigm that everyone deserves a living...

Read More »

(8/18/22) If the Fed's most recent FOMC Meeting Minutes were a fairytale, it might be an adaptation of The Three Bears--something for Goldilocks and everyone else. Markets rallied right into the 200-dma, selling off in the morning, as the Fed fed both hawks and doves in its FOMC Meeting minutes release: "Moving to a restrictive policy stance is required" inspired the hawks, but does not suggest a Fed picot anytime soon. But, "the...

Read More »

(8/18/22) It's College Move-in Week; parsing the latest meeting minutes of the FOMC: Markets rally despite economic backdrop; why retail sales numbers aren't what they seem: We're spending more, getting less; the lag-effect of Fed policy; How FOMC Meeting minutes are "crafted" for release; Hawks and Doves: There's something for everyone. Code words the Fed uses. Ice cream vs Bagels; Cheeseburgers vs salads; health in retirement; Gravity...

Read More »