Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

(4/21/22) The Major Cap companies' earnings reports are just part of the overall investing picture. The S&P is setting up to rally to previous highs, but because the Fed is about to start hiking rates, we're expecting continued pressure on equity prices. The NASDAQ is over-sold, like the S&P, but still trading below its 50-DMA. Tech stocks have been under more pressure, lately. A lift to the S&P will also drag the NASDAQ up, as well....

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(4/21/22) Despite the positive headline news from big market players, there's been a literal market crash below the surface. Markets have essentially made no progress since last Fall, and valuations remain unreasonably high. Quantitative Tightening is The Next Thing. How demographics are affecting housing supply & demand dynamics. The effects & consequences of Quantitative Tightening; how to harness inflation with i-Bonds. Adventures with...

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(4/20/22) A 2-million subscriber deficit for Netflix triggered a warning by the streaming service on Tuesday--the first such alarm for Netflix in a while. Interesting to notice how other streaming subscription services will report, as too many providers cannibalize one another's audiences. Stocks, however, are shaking off that bad news, with futures turning around this morning. The post-tax-day market behavior was as expected. Markets are in a good...

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(4/20/22) The Q1 Earnings Parade continues; the conundrum for Netflix, bundling vs a la carte--it's an issue of too many providers for a paucity of quality content. What's really important this earnings season is what companies will be saying about forward guidance. A 20% correction is not impossible. QE vs QT: Quantitative Easing did not cause inflation--"free" money from the Government did. You wanna avoid paying taxes, or make money?...

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(4/19/22) Markets continue to consolidate along recent set of lows; trading below the 50-DMA, providing some overhead resistance. This, combined with the most negative investor sentiment in 30-years, and the market hasn't really done much since September '21. Over the last few weeks, markets have been on a sell-signal, and declining. Over the new few weeks, markets are likely to work off over-bought conditions, triggering a money flow buy-signal,...

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(4/19/22) Does an inverted Yield Curve necessarily mean the Recession is over? (No.) The problem in trying to predict onset of a bear market--we don't usually know until 9-months or so later. Bear markets are fast and fierce; bull markets last longer. Negative investor sentiment generally correlates with market bottom. The Fed has not yet begun to taper! Why more people are using Google to diagnose illnesses; Acceptance of Risk is key to planning...

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