Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

(7/28/22) The Fed announced a 75-bp rate hike, as expected; markets rallied on the news the Fed is removing forward guidance, and could slow the velocity of rate increases over time. Markets interpreted that as a pivot in Fed policy, preparing to go back to zero interest rates and market-supportive quantitative easing. The resulting sharp rally in an otherwise bear market belied the Pain Trade by investors, with a case of FOMO: afraid of missing...

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(7/28/22) With the Fed's announced 75-bp rate hike, investors are now in Pain Trade Territory, acting on the FOMO principal of not wanting to miss the markets' bottom when the Fed pivots. Democrats' new plan for $400-billion in government spending to be paid for by imposing a new corporate minimum income tax: The Inflation Fighting Plan, using inflationary tactics in the process. House Speaker Pelosi's husband liquidated chip maker stocks ahead of...

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(7/27/22) There is an interesting opportunity for investors in companies that miss estimates, yet rally afterwards, despite whatever bad news has been released. Could that be the case with two giants of the S&P and NASDAQ, Microsoft and Google? Additionally, was the less-than-happy news already priced-in to these stocks? Still to be seen is whether they can hold their current bottom, and rally above their 50-DMA. Both stocks are major players...

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(7/27/22) The Federal Reserve later today is to make an announcement about interest rates, expected to boost the overnight lending rate by 75 basis points...but could Powell & o. cave to political pressure and pivot towards a kinder, gentler interest rate? In fact, there's a reason higher interest rates are healthier for the economy and individuals' financial well-being; there is a dark side to low interest rates, which prevent the natural...

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(7/26/22) Walmart blames inflation for a less-than-enthusiastic outlook, after previously warning about inventory builds. Monday's Q2 report underscored those concerns, as well as declining store traffic.

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(7/26/22) Treasury Sec'y. Janet Yellen says there's no recession in sight, but yield curve performance would challenge that assessment. WalMart and UPS warnings it's no longer cheap to go to McDonald's. Watching Retailers' reports to reveal how American's are spending money.

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(7/25/22) Markets got a little over-extended last week, pulling back and retesting the 50-DMA without violating it. That turned previous resistance into support, broke out of the downtrend channel, and set up a row of higher lows.

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(7/25/22) It's a busy week of earnings reporting as July comes to an end, and the lifting of the blackout on corporate stock buy backs stands to free up $11-billion of daily activity. How did Markets react to inflation of the '60's vs now?

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