Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

(11/18/22) There is no Fed pivot in sight, and denial in the markets is high; repercussions of the COVID lockdown are still being felt; credit card debt, HELOC debt is on the rise. A generation of bailed-out citizens. The once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for converting IRA's to Roths; dealing with charitable donations; Was FTX worse than Enron? Stanford? Carvana's incredible demise; fear & greed never change. Conversations you should have this...

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Here is an encore presentation of the November 15, 2022 Lunch & Learn. our Year End Economic Review with RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and special guest Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts. 01:00 - That Was the Year That Was 03:52 - What to do with Cash? 08:55 - The Wisdom in Buying Bonds Why Inflation Doesn't Really Matter over the long haul Safer is Always Better:...

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(11/17/22) Markets rallied towards our target of 4,100, but failed short of the goal. We're looking for some follow-through selling this morning; a retracement towards support won't be surprising. Markets are still on a buy-signal, but getting a bit extended. The risk is in a violation of both the 20- and 50-DMA. Inflation data of late supporting this market rally, and hopes of a Fed pivot, is also helping bonds. Weakening inflation is good for...

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(11/17/22) There's a problem with market rallies: The Fed doesn't like 'em. Estimates for Q4 GDP = 4.4% The tell will be Christmas sales; what are valuations telling us? Price must adjust for lower earnings. Things are starting to crack in financial markets; things we see during boom times vs bust times corrections: The Fed's Goal is to pull excess out of the markets. No question the Fed will pivot: But When?? FTX is not a "Lehman...

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(11/16/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before Retail Sales figures for October was reported at +1.3%, vs the anticipated 1.2%% increase] Markets were waiting for October's Retail Sales report, expected to be strongly influenced by data from California, which is a large consumer-state. Cali Gov. Gavin Newsom last month issued more stimulus checks to offset inflation and higher fuel prices. The artificially spurred spending is expected to have...

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(11/15/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before PPI for October was reported at +0.2%, vs the anticipated 0.4% increase] Markets were waiting for October's Producer Price Index report, expected to come down a bit as sings of economic slowing have been more apparent of late. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Vice-president Lael Brainard hinted the Fed could be close to easing the pace of its rate hikes. Could this, coupled with the cooler inflation number...

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(11/15/22) The FTX fiasco and ensuing bankruptcy is symptomatic of the times; professionals are no better than amateur investors at this point in valuations and performing due diligence. The truth behind the "Santa Clause Rally," and what's really happening; get ready for sloppiness in December. FTX shenanigans & repercussions: How we got the SEC, Sarbanes-Oxley, & other regulations; "Stakeholder Capitalism" and...

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