Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

(10/12/22) While it may FEEL like we're in a bear market after the declines this year, so far, the data would suggest otherwise: Markets remain in a very bullish trend, long term. Tracing the 200-week moving average since the 2008 financial crisis reveals a steady, upwards track which has not changed up until this point. Yes, markets are now testing the 200-WMA, which would appear to be the line in the sand between a bull market trend and a...

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(10/12/22) Janet Yellen tells CNBC essentially, "What, me worry?" Will the Recession be as "mild" as expected? Consumption will eventually slow down; "good" employment numbers are a lagging indicator AND subject to revision. Greta endorses nukes for electricity; the challenge of creating financial stability during transitional times. The Inmate Money Scammer; finding financial security in the U.S.; what happens with a...

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(10/11/22) Oil prices were over sold and due for a rally, which came to fruition, and we took off some energy exposure on Monday. OPEC cuts and tapping the SPR is creating a forecast for higher oil prices, yet. If oil prices stabilize at $85-87/bbl and work off their overboughtedness, we could then see another rally up to $100/bbl by the end of the year. However, oil prices have declined over all from their peak earlier this year. We're looking for...

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(10/11/22) Is Jamie Dimon correct in predicting a recession by 2023? 263k jobs number is great, but part of a declining trend. The Paradox of Savings makes for a weaker economy; earnings season is coming with estimates still too high. CEO confidence is at record lows, anticipating layoffs, starting with work-at-home employees. Employment growth is trending negatively. The Fed WILL make a policy mistake, and there is clear evidence Recession will...

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(10/7/22) Big Jobs numbers come out today amid a growing climate of negativity on the part of CEO's, anticipating layoffs in coming months; workers are essentially receiving pay cuts, thanks to effects of wages failing to keep up with inflation. Why older workers make better employees. Pandemic Homebuyers are having buyer's remorse; another example of lizard-brain investors not thinking-through a transaction; more and more American's are being...

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(10/10/22) The mid-term elections are about a month away, and with stocks down sharply for most of the year, one can't help but wonder what November's polling will mean to markets. Where inflation came from. How did the Kardashian's do it? [NOTE: Lance & The Crew are taking the day off, and will return return to live programming Tuesday (10-11-22). Here is an encore segment from a recent episode of The Real Investment Show.} Hosted by RIA...

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