Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Week Ahead: Tariffs Loom and the State of the Trump Trade

2025-02-22

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2025-02-22

Many observers seem confused. They express disappointment that the so-called "Trump trade", a rally in the dollar has not materialized. Yet, in some ways, isn't that what happened from late last September, ironically around the Federal Reserve's 50 bp rate cut, around the time investors began taking US election polls more seriously? In Q4 24, the Federal Reserve's real broad trade weighted dollar index rose by 4.9%, the best quarterly...

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AUDUSD falls as risk-off sentiment and technical sellers push the pair lower

2025-02-21

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WIth US stocks sharply lower, risk-off flows are weakening the AUDUSD. Technically, the 38.2% retracement and falling 100 day MA helped to stall the rally at the highs today.

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GBPUSD falls away from 100 day MA after breaks above fail. Buyers had their shot & missed.

2025-02-21

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The 100-day MA at 1.26599 was broken with a high reaching 1.2678. Momentum higher has faded.

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The USDCHF is holding swing area support. Buyers leaning and staying in play.

2025-02-21

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USDCHF maintains key support levels, triggering buy signals. Market sentiment bullish as buyers defend crucial swing area.

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USDCAD keeps a technical lid on the rebound. Sellers in control.

2025-02-21

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USDCAD struggles to break above key moving averages, with sellers dominating amid US dollar weakness. Canadian retail sales data weighs on pair, focus on key support levels for potential bounce.

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EURUSD buyers stall the fall at the 100 hour MA.That hold increases the levels importance

2025-02-21

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The EURUSD's 100 hour moving average was resistance on Wednesday, was broken yesterday, and was support today. Key level today and going forward.

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USDJPY bounces off the 50% midpoint target area. Is the bottom in place?

2025-02-21

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The 50% of the move up from the September 2024 low was tested at 149.22 today (low reached 149.27) and bounced. Is that the bottom for the USDJPY?

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EMU PMI Disappoints, US Snubs G20, and BOJ Threatens to Buy JGBs

2025-02-21

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2025-02-21

Overview:  The US dollar enjoys a firmer tone today after falling to new two-month lows against several of the G10 currencies. The market lacks near-term conviction as the US tariff threat looms after next week. US Secretary of State Rubio and Treasury Secretary Bessent have not attended the G20 meetings in South Africa due to tension in the bilateral relationship but adds to sense of US unilateralism, which is often mischaracterized as...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – JPY strength resumes as Treasury yields fall

2025-02-21

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#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 1:08 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 2:14 Upcoming Catalysts...

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USDCAD breaks below the 100 hour MA. Can the momentum lower continue?

2025-02-20

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Close risk for sellers on the break is now 1.4208 for traders looking for more downside in the USDCAD currency pair

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The USD is lower to start the US session. What are the technical telling traders now?

2025-02-20

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A technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD to kickstart the trading day.

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Yen Jumps amid Signs Tokyo Does Not Object to Normalizing Monetary Policy

2025-02-20

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2025-02-20

Overview:  The dollar's gains scored in North America yesterday have been reversed today.  It is softer against all the G10 currencies, led by the Japanese yen.  The greenback was pushed below JPY150 for the first in a little over two months, ostensibly on the back of greater confidence that the BOJ will continue to hike rates, but if anything the swap market is slightly softer than yesterday. Still, the dollar does not look to have bottomed...

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Gold Technical Analysis – Lack of bearish news keeps the bulls in charge

2025-02-20

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#gold #xauusd #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for Gold. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:36 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 1:36 Upcoming Catalysts...

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EURUSD sellers push the pair to the support target at 1.0405 level. Key target for traders

2025-02-19

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The 1.0405 level in the EURUSD is the 200-hour MA and the 50% midpoint of the EURUSD range since the 2022 low

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AUDUSD buyers remain in control after failing to move lower after RBA cut yesterday

2025-02-19

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What would hurt the buyer's momentum? Or keep the buyers happy? I will talk about it in the video.

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The RBNZ cut rates by 50 bps and the NZDUSD moved lower into MA support and bounced.

2025-02-19

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What next for the NZDUSD after the bounce higher in trading today? I will outline the key technical levels in play for the pair TODAY.

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USDCHF continues the bounce off last week’s lows

2025-02-19

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The USDCHF price is back above the 100 hour MA at 0.9021 but just barely. Key barometer for traders in the short-term for the USDCHF traders.

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USDCAD buyers trying to make a play to the upside in the short term.Watch the 100 hour MA.

2025-02-19

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Traders took the price of the USDCAD above the 100 hour MA after holding below it yesterday. That tilt is a modest positive for traders looking for a bottom. Stay above will be a key barometer for traders today.

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The USD is mixed. What technical clues are in play for the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD

2025-02-19

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The USD is higher vs the EUR and GBP but lower vs the JPY

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Euro’s Pullback Extends, While the Kiwi Shrugs Off Third Half-Point Cut by the RBNZ

2025-02-19

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2025-02-19

Overview: The US warned that the next phase of the tariff war could be announced in early April and three industries, auto, pharma, and chips. President Trump's comments suggested sometime between the announcement and the implementation. He did not specify if USMCA trade would be exempt for the auto tariffs. Some auto parts reportedly cross the border four-five times. The dollar is mixed against the G10 currencies. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand...

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