Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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USD is sharply lower after “Liberation Day”. What technicals are driving the major pairs

2025-04-03

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The stocks are lower and the yields are lower

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The Day After

2025-04-03

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2025-04-03

Overview: Little would one know from looking at the US economic outperformance and the record-high household net worth, but the US President said that global trade has “looted, pillaged, raped, and plundered” the US economy. Rather than some sophisticated analysis to measure trade and non-trade barriers as the President Trump suggested, the so-called "kind reciprocity," appears to be a simple function of US imports as a percentage of the...

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EURJPY’s uptrend could resume | market outlook: forex trading | 01.04.2025

2025-04-03

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Euro-yen's overall uptrend from March might continue this month, but some sort of confirmation on the chart would help to give this idea a greater probability of success. The commitment of traders for CME's futures on the yen shows a new record low net position of commercial traders, which would usually suggest losses by the currency to come. It also appears that inflation in Japan might have peaked for now while expectations for the Bank of Japan...

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What are the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD doing ahead of the tariff announcement?

2025-04-02

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In this video, I take a technical look at the 3 major currency pairs - the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD ahead of the tariff announcement by Pres. Trump at 4 PM. What levels should you be watching for your trading?

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Liberation Day from the Multilateral World Our Parents, Grandparents, and Great Grandparents Created

2025-04-02

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2025-04-02

Overview:   The trepidation over today's US tariff announcement has been underscored by reports that even as late as yesterday, a final decision had not been made. Given the complexity of different tariff schedule formulations, and the desire to implement the new regime immediately seem to favor a simply across the board levy or maybe two categories, a high one and low one. In terms of allocation of power, Treasury Secretary Bessent and his...

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Gold Technical Analysis – All eyes on the reciprocal tariffs announcement

2025-04-02

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#gold #xauusd #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for Gold. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:52 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 2:21 Upcoming Catalysts...

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What’s priced in for Liberation Day and why the US dollar is weak

2025-04-01

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Adam Button, chief currency analyst at Forexlive, shares his outlook for the U.S. dollar as inflation and tariff uncertainty continue to apply pressure on the currency. He also talks about what is priced in for Trump's April 2 'Liberation Day'.

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The USD is mixed to start the NA session. What are the technicals telling traders?

2025-04-01

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Tariffs loom with reports of 20% tariffs across the board the latest expectations

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Dollar Consolidates, Bonds Rally, Stocks Recover, and Gold Extends Gains Ahead of Tomorrow’s US Tariff Announcement

2025-04-01

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2025-04-01

Overview:  Ahead of tomorrow's US tariff announcement, which reports suggest the administration is still debating key elements, the US dollar is mostly consolidating inside yesterday's ranges. The news stream has been limited to the largely as expected Japanese Tankan survey, which did not appear to impact BOJ expectations and the unsurprising decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia to stand pat after initiating an easing cycle at its last...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – The JPY eases as the risk sentiment improves

2025-04-01

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#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 1:09 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 2:36 Upcoming Catalysts...

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The AUSUSD is moving sharply lower on risk-off selling with technical breaks contributing

2025-03-31

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The price of the AUDUSD stayed below the 100/200 bar MAs and fell below trend line and swing area support between 0.6254 and 0.6268.

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The dollar is mixed while the global stocks are not – they are down.

2025-03-31

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The EURUSD is little changed. The GBPUSD is back higher in an up and down and up day. USDJPY is lower but off the low.

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Equities and Rates: Look Out Below

2025-03-31

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2025-03-31

Overview:  The US dollar begins the new week mostly firmer. The dollar-bloc currencies and Scandis are the weakest. Sterling and the euro are little changed, while the continued drop in the US 10-year yield has helped lift the yen by nearly 0.5%. Emerging market currencies are mixed as well. A handful of Asian currencies, including the Chinese yuan, are higher. The Turkish lira is also firmer, after falling nearly 4% over the past two weeks....

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April 2025 Monthly

2025-03-29

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2025-03-29

The world is different. After a four-year restoration of the traditional globalist US elite, a majority of the American electorate seems to have rejected it. President Trump is indeed a transformational president, and his reversal of many traditional elements of US domestic and foreign policy are triggering dramatic action in other parts of the world. Many Americans and European had been critical of Germany's self-imposed fiscal strait jacket   In...

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The EURUSD and the GBPUSD are lower after softer data. THe USDJPY is lower as well

2025-03-28

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The USDJPY stalled against the key resistance level and rotated to the downside. US PCE data will be released at 8:30 AM. University of Michigan at 10 AM

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How to trade with tradeCompass: Example on Bitcoin

2025-03-28

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What is tradeCompass? tradeCompass is your daily market map at ForexLive.com (evolving to investingLive.com later this year!) — a professional, actionable analysis built to help traders prepare for the trading day with clarity and structure. Each tradeCompass report gives you: ✅ The most important key price levels of the day ✅ Clear Bullish and Bearish Trade Plans ✅ Defined Breakout & Reversal Zones → Areas where price is likely to react ✅...

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Friday Surprises: Tokyo Inflation on the Upside, France and Spain on the Downside, Stronger UK Retail Sales

2025-03-28

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2025-03-28

Overview: The US dollar, which struggled yesterday, is trading higher against most currencies today. The Japanese yen an exception among the G10 currencies. The higher-than-expected March Tokyo CPI had little impact on BOJ expectations, the pullback in the US 10-year yield, around seven basis points from yesterday's high, has helped underpin the yen. The UK reported stronger than expected retail sales and its first trade surplus, excluding precious...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – The JPY gets a boost from higher Tokyo CPI data

2025-03-28

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#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:55 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 1:56 Upcoming Catalysts...

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What’s really priced in for April 2 tariffs

2025-03-27

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Adam Button from Forexlive.com talks with BNNBloomberg about the state of play around April 2 tariffs, what markets are pricing in and what he expects.

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The EURUSD and the GBPUSD are higher to start the new day. The USDJPY is also higher

2025-03-27

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Mixed USD vs the major currencies to start the day on March 27

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