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Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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The dollar is mixed while the global stocks are not – they are down.

2025-03-31

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The EURUSD is little changed. The GBPUSD is back higher in an up and down and up day. USDJPY is lower but off the low.

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Equities and Rates: Look Out Below

2025-03-31

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2025-03-31

Overview:  The US dollar begins the new week mostly firmer. The dollar-bloc currencies and Scandis are the weakest. Sterling and the euro are little changed, while the continued drop in the US 10-year yield has helped lift the yen by nearly 0.5%. Emerging market currencies are mixed as well. A handful of Asian currencies, including the Chinese yuan, are higher. The Turkish lira is also firmer, after falling nearly 4% over the past two weeks....

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April 2025 Monthly

2025-03-29

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2025-03-29

The world is different. After a four-year restoration of the traditional globalist US elite, a majority of the American electorate seems to have rejected it. President Trump is indeed a transformational president, and his reversal of many traditional elements of US domestic and foreign policy are triggering dramatic action in other parts of the world. Many Americans and European had been critical of Germany's self-imposed fiscal strait jacket   In...

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The EURUSD and the GBPUSD are lower after softer data. THe USDJPY is lower as well

2025-03-28

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The USDJPY stalled against the key resistance level and rotated to the downside. US PCE data will be released at 8:30 AM. University of Michigan at 10 AM

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How to trade with tradeCompass: Example on Bitcoin

2025-03-28

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What is tradeCompass? tradeCompass is your daily market map at ForexLive.com (evolving to investingLive.com later this year!) — a professional, actionable analysis built to help traders prepare for the trading day with clarity and structure. Each tradeCompass report gives you: ✅ The most important key price levels of the day ✅ Clear Bullish and Bearish Trade Plans ✅ Defined Breakout & Reversal Zones → Areas where price is likely to react ✅...

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Friday Surprises: Tokyo Inflation on the Upside, France and Spain on the Downside, Stronger UK Retail Sales

2025-03-28

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2025-03-28

Overview: The US dollar, which struggled yesterday, is trading higher against most currencies today. The Japanese yen an exception among the G10 currencies. The higher-than-expected March Tokyo CPI had little impact on BOJ expectations, the pullback in the US 10-year yield, around seven basis points from yesterday's high, has helped underpin the yen. The UK reported stronger than expected retail sales and its first trade surplus, excluding precious...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – The JPY gets a boost from higher Tokyo CPI data

2025-03-28

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#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:55 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 1:56 Upcoming Catalysts...

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What’s really priced in for April 2 tariffs

2025-03-27

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Adam Button from Forexlive.com talks with BNNBloomberg about the state of play around April 2 tariffs, what markets are pricing in and what he expects.

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The EURUSD and the GBPUSD are higher to start the new day. The USDJPY is also higher

2025-03-27

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Mixed USD vs the major currencies to start the day on March 27

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Markets Hold Collective Breath as US Offensive Launched

2025-03-27

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2025-03-27

Overview:  Many participants were focused on next week's US "reciprocal tariffs" when yesterday, it announced a 25% tariff on imported cars, effective April 3. Fully assembled vehicles are the first target, but by May 3, major parts, such as engines, transmissions, powertrain components and electrical systems will be included. The tariffs on Mexico and Canada will be adjusted based on the share of domestic content. A White House official...

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Gold Technical Analysis – Renewed tariffs fears boost the precious metal

2025-03-27

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#gold #xauusd #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for Gold. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:33 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries.ù 1:39 Upcoming Catalysts...

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The USD is higher vs the 3 major currencies – the EUR, JPY and GBP – to start the US day

2025-03-26

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What are the technicals and fundamentals that are moving the markets at the start of the US session?

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Softer CPI Weighs on Sterling, Ahead of Budget Statement

2025-03-26

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2025-03-26

Overview:  Uncertainty over next week's US tariff announcement continues weigh on markets and undermines near-term conviction. The dollar is mostly consolidating against the G10 currencies. Sterling is the heaviest, off about 0.3% after a soft CPI report and ahead of the Spring Budget Statement. The dollar bloc and Norwegian krone are the strongest. Among emerging market currencies, the Mexican peso roughly 0.25% loss puts it at the bottom of the...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – Focus on the “Liberation Day”

2025-03-26

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#usdjpy #forex #technicalanalysis In this video you will learn about the latest fundamental developments for the USDJPY pair. You will also find technical analysis across different timeframes for a better overall outlook on the market. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Topics covered in the video: 0:00 Fundamental Outlook. 0:53 Technical Analysis with Optimal Entries. 1:51 Upcoming Catalysts...

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FX Market Calm on the Surface, Angst Below

2025-03-25

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2025-03-25

Overview:  The US dollar is consolidating its recent gains against the G10 currencies in quiet and relatively uneventful turnover. There continue to be mixed signals about the US tariffs threatened for next week. President Trump himself said that auto tariffs were coming soon as in days, while suggesting that there may be "a lot" of carve-outs from the reciprocal tariffs. EU's trade representative Sefcovic is meeting with US Commerce...

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The Possibility that the US is Toning Down its April 2 Tariff Threat Helps Lift Equities

2025-03-24

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2025-03-24

Overview: Investors are finding some comfort in a signal from some senior US official that toned down the double-barrel threat of reciprocal and sectoral tariffs on April 2. The focus is said to be on the former, with some exemptions. Although the administration is two-months old, there have been many conflicting signals and there still is much uncertainty. After last week's gains, the greenback has begun the new week mostly softer against the G10...

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Week Ahead: Is the Dollar Bottoming?

2025-03-22

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2025-03-22

After falling steadily since from the end of Q3 24 through the first part of January, the dollar stabilized last week, despite the dovish market takeaway from the Federal Reserve. The median projection for growth was shaved while the inflation project was raised. Still, despite the Atlanta Fed's GDP Now tracking a contraction here in Q1, few are that pessimistic. None of the 58 economists in Bloomberg's survey see a contraction, and only one...

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March Madness? The Dollar is Closing in on its Best Week this Month

2025-03-21

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2025-03-21

Overview:  The dollar's down trend, which began at least a week before President Trump's second inauguration stalled this week, and preliminary technical signs suggest a bottom may be in the process of forming. The uncertainty over US reciprocal and sector tariff announcement on April 2 is boosting uncertainty among policymakers, investors, and businesses. The greenback is mostly firmer today and near the week's best levels against most of the...

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Dollar Comes Back Bid

2025-03-20

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2025-03-20

Overview:  The Federal Reserve's projections show a little more inflation and a little less growth this year and next, but the median projection showed, as it did in December, two rate cuts this year. This, coupled with the reduction of the balance sheet unwind of Treasury holdings (QT) gave a dovish cast to the FOMC outcome, though the dispersion of forecasts showed upside risks to inflation, and even the two rate cuts anticipated was a closer...

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Fed: When Words are Actions

2025-03-19

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2025-03-19

Overview: Often it is said that what the Fed does is more important than what it says. But this is not so today. There is little doubt that the Fed continues to remain on hold but it will updates its forecasts, and Chair Powell will likely reiterate his recent assessment that the economy is in a position that allows the central bank to be patient and wait for clearer signals of the impact of the administration's policies. The Summary of Economic...

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