Category Archive: 4) FX Trends
Bailey Weighs on Sterling
Overview: The dollar enjoys a firmer tone today. The escalating conflict in the Middle East is keeping the market on edge. And then there is tomorrow's US employment report. Among the G10 currencies, sterling has been the hardest hit. It is off around 1% after Bank of England Governor Bailey seemed to signal that after pausing last month, the central bank may turn more aggressive here in Q4. Nearly all the emerging market currencies are...
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AUDUSD moves into a more neutral territory as sellers are back in play
Why are the technicals more neutral? What would increase the bearish bias? What would shift the bias higher (bullish)?
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The USDCHF is making a break to the top…well one break. More work to do.
The price of the USDCHF is above the 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 0.8486. Stay above is more bullish.
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Patient BOJ Weighs on the Yen, Hong Kong Re-Opens with a Bang, Middle East War Underpins Crude, while the Dollar Consolidates
Overview: The US dollar is mostly little changed today. Comments from the new Japanese government and BOJ Governor Ueda reinforce the sense driven by the softness in the September Tokyo CPI and larger-than-expected decline in August industrial output that there is no urgency for another rate hike. The yen is the weakest of the G10 currencies today. The Norwegian krone leads the major currencies higher after underperforming yesterday. Outside of...
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The AUDUSD/NZDUSD are moving lower w/geopolitical and risk-off sentiment the catalyst
The AUDUSD is below its 100 hour MA but still above the 200 hour MA. The NZDUSD is below both MAs. Bearish.
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In the kickstart video for Oct 1, I take a technical look at EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
What are the trading roadmaps for the three major currency pairs? What is the bias? Where are the targets? Where are the risks?
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Powell’s Lack of Urgency Helps the Dollar Correct Higher
Overview: Japan will go to polls a little ahead of the US. And the US election still looks too close to call. Canada may be forced into snap elections if the Bloc Quebecois abandon's negotiating with the minority Liberal government as it has threatened to do at the end of the month. The UK's new Labour government is putting together its first budget to be delivered at the end of the month. Among the first tasks of the new French prime minister is...
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EURUSD extends to new lows for the day and back below MA support levels
The EURUSD is back below the 100 hour MA and the 200 hour MA at 1.11647 and 1.1151 respectively. Close risk now for sellers.
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USDCAD defines close support and resistance to start the new trading week
The resistance is near the 200-hour MA at 1.35176. The support is need a swing level at 1.3486.
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USDCHF bounces off key support floor near 0.8400
The move back higher has taken out some upside targets giving buyers some hope/confidence with more work to do.
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Kickstart the FX trading day for Sept 30 w/a technical look at EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
What technical levels are in play for the major currency pairs to start the new trading week?
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Mortgage Relief Lifts China’s CSI 300 by more than 8% Ahead of the Golden Week Holiday
Overview: The US dollar is narrowly mixed on the last trading day of Q3 24. The Australian dollar, the G10 proxy for China, is leading the major currencies higher and reached its best level since February 2023 (~$0.6940). The yen and Swiss franc continue to trade heavily and are off 0.2%-0.25%. The euro firm and traded above $1.12 for the fifth time since late August but has failed to settle above there once. The soft inflation readings have...
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October 2024 Monthly
With the Federal Reserve's 50 bp rate cut, seven of the G10 central banks have begun an easing cycle that will extend, broaden, and may accelerate going forward. Australia and Norway will likely join the party next year, while some, like Canada and Sweden may increase the pace of its cuts in Q4.
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