Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Monday: A Short Note while US is on Holiday

2023-02-20

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2023-02-20

The dollar is mostly softer, but turnover is mostly quiet.  The Swedish krona leads the move after higher-than-expected underlying inflation.  It is a mild risk-on day with equities moving higher too.  In the Asia Pacific region, China stood with the CSI 300 up almost 2.5%.  Europe’s Stoxx 600 is up fractionally to recoup most of the pre-weekend decline.  US equity futures are narrowly mixed.  European bond yields are little changed, with a couple...

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If you’re not confused, you’re not paying attention

2023-02-19

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In this video, we explore the recent market confusion and its impact on technical analysis. CNBC's Steve Leesman famously said, "If you are not confused, you're not paying attention." The latest CPI inflation report added to the confusion, creating a volatile market. We also delve into the role of technical analysis in such uncertain times. Join us for a detailed analysis of the markets.

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Week Ahead: Market Seeks Proper Balance after Exaggerating in Both Directions

2023-02-18

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2023-02-18

The pendulum of market sentiment swung from fear of a synchronized recession in the US and Europe to optimism that a recession can be avoid. The perceived reduction of downside risks had driven the upside performance of equities and bonds. Just as the data seems to confirm it, the rally in in stocks and bonds faltered. The MSCI Emerging Markets equity index gained 7.8% last month but is off almost 3.8% this month, and has fallen for three...

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The USD moved higher into the NY session but is seeing some modest profit taking.

2023-02-17

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The USD moved higher today reaching new extremes for the week and beyond. However, there has been some selling as technical levels were approached and profit takers/countertrend traders stuck a toe in the water.   What are the technicals saying?

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Dramatic Swing in Sentiment Extends the Greenback’s Rally

2023-02-17

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2023-02-17

Overview:  A series of strong US high-frequency data points after a poor finish to last year has spurred a dramatic shift in market expectations. And talk among a couple of (non-voting) FOMC members of a 50 bp hike has provided added fodder. The greenback is extending its recovery today against all the major currencies, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars hit the hardest. Emerging market currencies have also been knocked back. This is part...

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FOREX TECHNICAL VIDEO:PPI comes in hotter than expected sending the USD higher. What next?

2023-02-16

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In this US morning forex technical report, we take a look at the impact of the stronger-than-expected US PPI data on the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPJPY pairs. Join us as we analyze the bias, risk and target levels to help you navigate the current forex market.

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Technical analysis of S&P 500 E-mini Futures after PPI data

2023-02-16

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In this forex analysis video, we look at the recent market data and discuss the bearish turn. We highlight the next price levels and junctions to watch for potential trading opportunities. For more insights, visit ForexLive.com.

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Markets Catch Collective Breath

2023-02-16

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2023-02-16

Overview:  On the heels of a dramatic jump in US job creation and firmer than expected year-over-year CPI, the US reported a larger than expected jump in retail sales and a strong recovery in manufacturing output. Few think that economic momentum that the recent data implies can be repeated, the "no landing" camp has gained adherents. We suspect that says more about psychology than the economy. The US two-year note is threatening to snap...

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VIDEO: Retail sales surprise to the upside. What did that do for the forex technicals?

2023-02-15

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In this morning's forex technical report, we examine the impact of stronger than expected US retail sales on the EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD currency pairs. Our analysis includes an explanation of the bias, control, targets, and risks, and provides critical insights that all traders should be aware of for every trade.

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US Dollar Comes Back Better Bid

2023-02-15

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2023-02-15

Overview: Although the US January CPI was in line with expectations, the year-over-year rate was a little firmer than expected. Still, the measure that Fed Chair Powell has underscored, core services, excluding shelter, moderated with a 0.3% month-over-month gain. US rates shot up and this lent the dollar support, while weighing on equities and risk sentiment. The US two-year note yield rose to almost 4.64% yesterday, the highest in three months....

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VIDEO: The aftermath of the US CPI.What levels are in play for the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD

2023-02-14

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Stay ahead of the game in the Forex market with our latest analysis of the top 3 currency pairs after the US CPI report. Our expert analyst takes a deep dive into the USD movement and highlights the crucial levels to watch for the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. Don't miss out on this valuable insights and tips to optimize your Forex strategy.

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Dollar and Rates Soften a Little Ahead of US CPI

2023-02-14

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2023-02-14

The focus is on the US CPI report today, but the price action is anything but intuitive. Although the revisions of the basket and methodological changes reinforce expectations for the largest rise in three months, the US dollar continues to trade heavily after rallying last week. The dollar-bloc currencies are underperforming today. And US rates are softer. The US 2- and 10-year yields are 1-2 bp lower.

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Yen Retreats Ahead of Formal BOJ Announcement Tomorrow and US CPI

2023-02-13

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2023-02-13

Overview: A consolidative tone is mostly the theme of the day. The revisions to the US CPI announced before the weekend add to the uncertainty and focus on tomorrow's report. At the same time, investors watch ongoing air space activity that has led to a few objects being shot down over the US and Canadian airspace.

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Dow Jones technical analysis: Watching for a possible busted bear flag!

2023-02-13

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Dow Jones traders alert: Don't miss out on a possible trading opportunity! In this video, we examine what happens when a technical chart pattern "busts" and the impact it can have on your trades. We take a look at the Dow Jones futures (YM) on the four-hour chart and analyze the recent breakdown of the bear flag. We also explore the potential for a bullish opportunity if the price enters and stays inside the bear flag. For early traders...

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Bitcoin technical analysis: Probably going under $20k again

2023-02-12

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Get ahead of the game with this comprehensive weekend forex technical report. We take a deep dive into the technicals driving all the major currency pairs vs the USD, including EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD. Get insights into key levels, trendlines, and other technical indicators to inform your trading decisions.

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The week ahead. Do you want to get ready for the new forex trading week? Watch and learn.

2023-02-12

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A technical look at all the major currency pairs vs the USD. Get ahead of the game with this comprehensive weekend forex technical report. We take a deep dive into the technicals driving all the major currency pairs vs the USD, including EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD. Get insights into key levels, trendlines, and other technical indicators to inform your trading decisions. EURUSD 2:28 USDJPY 6:34 GBPUSD 11:00 USDCHF...

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USD JPY technical analysis: Bullish for now, seeking a short soon!

2023-02-12

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Explore the potential end of the bear channel for the USDJPY with this in-depth technical analysis. See the latest market trends with higher highs and lows and understand how prices fluctuate in a trading range without a distinct trend. Learn how to identify the end of a bull channel and where the next phase may begin. Join me as I delve into the USDJPY market and speculate on the high reward vs risk trading zones for traders.

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Russell 2000 technical analysis

2023-02-12

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Get ahead of the game in the futures market with this in-depth analysis of the Russell 2000! In this video, we take a technical approach and explore key factors such as levels of resistance and support, the 20 EMA moving average, trendlines, candlestick patterns, and the anchored VWAP indicator. Gain a competitive edge and make informed trades with our expert analysis. Watch now!

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Week Ahead: US CPI to Begin Sharper Deacceleration through H1 23

2023-02-11

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2023-02-11

After selling off sharply in the past four months, the dollar rebounded. Since the FOMC meeting on February 1, it has enjoyed one of the strongest bounces since it topped out in late September/early October. The incredible US jobs data, sharp bounce in the January services ISM, speculation of BOJ Governor Kuroda's successor, and some easing of the euphoria over China's re-opening have been notable drivers.

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VIDEO:The Canada job release surprises. What next for the USDCAD and other currency pairs.

2023-02-10

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Start your day with the latest insights in the forex market! In this video, we take a deep dive into the USDCAD, EURUSD, and USDJPY and analyze their price movements in the morning technical report. Get a clear understanding of where the market is headed and make informed trades. Watch now for valuable information to boost your trading strategy.

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