Category Archive: 4) FX Trends

Main Author Marc Chandler
Marc Chandler
He has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for more than 30 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. After 14 years as the global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, Chandler joined Bannockburn Global Forex, as a managing partner and chief markets strategist as of October 1, 2018.
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Calmer Markets to Start the New Week

2023-03-27

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2023-03-27

Overview: There did not appear to be any negative surprises over the weekend, and this is helping calm investors' nerves at the start of the new week. Deutsche Bank shares have recovered most of the pre-weekend loss in the German market, and Stoxx bank index is posting a gain for the first time in four sessions. The AT1 ETF is slightly softer. In Japan, the Topix bank index slipped around 0.5%, its fourth decline in the past five sessions. Asia...

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The GBPUSD fell to support on Friday, and buyers stepped in. Buyers in control.

2023-03-26

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In this video, we'll take a closer look at the recent movement of the GBPUSD, which fell to support on Friday before buyers stepped in. With the buyers now more in control heading into the new trading week, we'll explore the key levels to watch and potential trading opportunities that could arise. Join us as we provide you with valuable insights and analysis that can help you navigate the Forex market and make informed trading decisions.

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USDJPY: The USDJPY has a small bullish bias heading into the new trading week

2023-03-26

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In this video, we'll analyze the current state of the USDJPY and examine the potential bullish bias heading into the new trading week. Despite the recent move to the downside, the USDJPY is showing some technical signs of strength, and we'll explore the key levels to watch and the potential trading opportunities that could arise. Join us as we provide you with valuable insights and analysis that can help you navigate the Forex market and make...

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A drill down look at the EURUSD

2023-03-26

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In this video, we'll take a drill-down look at the EURUSD and examine the key levels in play from both a short-term and long-term perspective to start the trading week. Whether you're a short-term or long-term trader, we've got you covered with valuable insights and analysis that can help you make informed trading decisions. Join us as we explore the latest trends and provide you with actionable strategies that can help you succeed in the volatile...

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S&P technical analysis: Bulls are holding

2023-03-26

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In this video, we'll examine the current support and resistance levels in the market and discuss the VAL (value area low) price level of 3930. As long as the market doesn't close a day below this level, bulls are holding. We'll then take a closer look at the next targets of 4029 and 4080 and what they could mean for traders. Please note that trading involves risks, and we encourage you to conduct your own analysis and research before making any...

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Where do I start?

2023-03-25

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Last week was eventful, with numerous releases and events, making it difficult to know where to begin. In this video, we'll start from the very beginning and discuss the highlights of the week that was, including the Federal Reserve's actions and how the market reacted. We'll explore the apparent tensions between the Fed and the market and discuss how both may have been performing their roles. Join us as we provide valuable insights into the...

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Banking Crisis Roils Capital Markets, Overshadowing High-Frequency Data

2023-03-25

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2023-03-25

The banking crisis is the newest shock to roil the capital markets. Pragmatic action by central banks, governments, and the private sector has thus far been insufficient to allow investors to be confident that the problem is ring-fenced. Credit Suisse was a pre-existing problem that flared up to the breaking point. The government's offer to take the first CHF9 bln in losses and the controversial triggering of clauses allowing AT1 bondholders to be...

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Don’t miss #FMAS, the ultimate Expo for #traders , #investors , and #Forex enthusiasts !

2023-03-24

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Financial contagion causes more anxiety in the financial markets.

2023-03-24

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The financial contagion has affected Deutsche Bank shares, causing them to drop by 10% during trading. This decline has led to lower movements in other European shares and US financials, prompting investors to seek refuge in safe-haven currencies like the USD and JPY. In this forex technical report, we will analyze the EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD currency pairs, highlighting the key levels in play for today. Stay up-to-date on the latest market...

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The Dollar Jumps Back

2023-03-24

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2023-03-24

Overview: The pendulum of market expectations has swung dramatically and now looks for 100 bp cut in the Fed funds target this year. That seems extreme. At the same time, the dollar's downside momentum has stalled, suggesting that the dollar may recover some of the ground lost recently as the interest rate leg was knocked out from beneath it. The euro twice in the past two days pushed through $1.09 only to be turned away. Similarly, sterling pushed...

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The Day After. What are the technicals in the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD saying now?ForexLive Video

2023-03-23

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In this video, we'll be discussing the recent Fed rate hike of 25 basis points and how it has affected the USD. Despite the rate increase, the USD has moved lower. We'll analyze the technical indicators for three major currency pairs, the EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD, and provide insights into what they're telling us about market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

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Market Hears Dovish Fed Hike and Sells Dollars

2023-03-23

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2023-03-23

Overview:  The dollar remains under pressure following the Federal Reserve's rate hike. The market thinks it heard that the Fed was done hiking, even though Fed Chair Powell held out the possibility that "some additional firming may be necessary."  The Norwegian krone is the strongest of the G10 currencies today, up more than 1%, spurred by a 25 bp hike and a commitment to do more. The Dollar Index briefly traded below 102.00 for the...

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Tough Fed Decisions

2023-03-22

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2023-03-22

Overview: The market has concluded that the Fed will hike rates today. The US two-year yield has risen from about 3.63% at Monday's lows almost 4.20% yesterday. It needs to rise to 4.35% to recover half of its decline since March 8 but has come back softer today. Meanwhile, the banking crisis continues to ease, and Europe's Stoxx 600 bank index is up 1.5%, its third consecutive advance. The US KBW bank index rallied almost 5% yesterday. Still,...

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Risk on sentiment in the EUR to start the day one day before the FOMC rate decision

2023-03-21

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Join us for this Forex market analysis update one day before the FOMC announcement. As banking fears are abating, the EUR is moving higher against the USD, while the GBP is moving lower. At the same time, the USDJPY is showing an upward trend as expectations focus on higher rates. But what do the charts say? In this session, we'll analyze the latest charts and discuss potential trading opportunities based on technical analysis. Whether you're a...

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Banking Stress Eases

2023-03-21

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2023-03-21

Overview: The banking crisis is ebbing. The Bank of England and European Central Bank assured investors that the AT1 bonds are senior to equity claims, and Switzerland is a unique case. Bank share indices in the Europe and the US rose yesterday, even though the shares of First Republic Bank fell by 47% yesterday. The $123-stock at the end of last month reached almost $11 yesterday. It is trading around $14.75 pre-market. Global equities are...

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Terms of UBS Acquisition Wipes out Additional Tier 1 Capital and Spurs Fresh Concerns

2023-03-20

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2023-03-20

Overview:  UBS takeover of Credit Suisse, the sale of Signature bank assets, and the daily dollar swaps could have helped stabilize the budding banking crisis. However, the wipeout of the additional tier 1 capital cushion (16 bln Swiss francs) at Credit Suisse has raised concern about the vulnerability of other such assets, which post-GFC is a $275 bln market in Europe. Asia Pacific equities was a sea of red, led by a 2.65% drop in the Hang Seng...

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What levels will be key as the market prepare for the FOMC rate decision

2023-03-20

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The trading week is underway. What technical levels are in play.

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The quiet Fed is ready to speak

2023-03-20

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While the expectations for the Fed was turned upside down, the Fed was in a quiet period, where not a word was said. On Wednesday, the Fed will be ready to speak when they announce their rate decision. Has the market gone too far, during the Feds silence? Much will depend on if the Fed will take the ECB approach and address financial fires and monetary policy with different tools.

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Fed interest rate decision with technical analysis and forecast

2023-03-19

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See more at https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/fed-interest-rate-decision-with-technical-analysis-and-forecast/

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FOMC and BOE Meet As Investors are Not Persuaded that Efforts to Contain the Financial Crisis are Sufficient

2023-03-18

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2023-03-18

It was widely understood that the Federal Reserve would raise rates until one of three things took place: inflation was clearly on course to return to the target, the labor market would weaken precipitously, or systemic stress threatened. At the same time, the shocks we have had to cope with, Covid, supply chains, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine were commonly cited, and the. The re-pricing of assets as interest rates began normalizing may have...

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