Category Archive: 2.) Other Periphery

George Dorgan (penname) predicted the end of the EUR/CHF peg at the CFA Society and at many occasions on SeekingAlpha.com and on this blog. Several Swiss and international financial advisors support the site. These firms aim to deliver independent advice from the often misleading mainstream of banks and asset managers. George is FinTech entrepreneur, financial author and alternative economist. He speak seven languages fluently.

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Why Portugal Matters

2016-10-05

by Marc Chandler

2016-10-05

DBRS reviews its investment grade rating of Portugal on Oct 21. A cut in its rating would have far reaching implications. A cut in the outlook is more likely than a cut the rating.

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Reasons for the Spanish Housing Bubble

The Upcoming Spanish Lost Decade(s)

2012-12-19

by George Dorgan

2012-12-19

To us, the big theatre surrounding Greece was just a preview of a much bigger crisis that will happen in the coming years in Spain, the upcoming Spanish lost decade(s). Greece was an absolutely desperate case; therefore, everything was quick. It took just two years till we arrived at the official sector participation and yearly German transfer …

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The Fairy Tale of Rising Competitiveness in the European Periphery

2012-12-17

by George Dorgan

2012-12-17

In our post we look on two questions concerning competitiveness for the European periphery: When will local production be cheaper than imported products? Do people have the money to buy these local products? It does not help reducing labor costs if local production costs still more than imported products. The second aspect is: even if …

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Euro Morons: Hyperinflation Successfully Avoided, Stagflation Successfully Created

2012-12-01

by George Dorgan

2012-12-01

Keeping Greece in euro zone, eurocrats or better “euro morons” have successfully avoided a weak drachma and a following Greek hyperinflation. Instead they successfully created stagflation. Currently European HICP inflation is at 2.5%, far above the max. 2.0% official ECB mandate, but the euro is becoming weaker and weaker. German salaries are rising with 2.6% …

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Italy: About the Hypocrisy of Politicians and the Blindness of the English-Speaking Financial Papers

2012-05-19

by George Dorgan

2012-05-19

Debt Servicing Costs Italy vs. GDP change

Just a little wrap-up of two tweets read in 5 minutes, to which I finally added a bit more out of my recent Tweets. One Tweet: The British finance minister Osborne has emphasized that the euro zone needs to protect its peripheral economies. “The whole of Europe needs to become more competitive and productive. That …

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Jürgen Stark’s resignation and the ECB 2005 warning about labor cost divergence in the Euro-zone

2011-12-18

by George Dorgan

2011-12-18

The Wirtschaftswoche reports about the real reasons of ECB Chief economist Jürgen Stark’s resignation. The reasons are rather political, namely a protest against European governments:

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The Spanish Ailing Car Industry

2005-10-05

by George Dorgan

2005-10-05

Extracts from Think Spain. October 2005. Foreign companies who manufacture cars in Spain are facing a fresh crisis. In addition to the problems of VW subsidiary Seat, various others are being forced to take decisions about the renewal of a number of different models which are reaching the end of their life-cycles. While …

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