Commercial Bank Chickens Come Home to Roost
2024-06-24
The FDIC added 11 new banks to its Problem List in the first quarter of 2024, bringing the total to 63. The specific banks on this are kept confidential, but the endemic, underlying issues in the commercial banking sector are increasingly obvious.Interest Rate Risk and LiquidityThe FIDC reported that “Unrealized losses on securities totaled $516.5 billion in the first quarter, an increase of $38.9 billion (8.2 percent) from fourth quarter 2023.
The Establishment Survey Overestimated Job Creation by nearly 700,000 in 2023
2024-06-21
Yesterday, we looked at how the Business Employment Dynamics (BED) report showed job losses last year while the much-reported and much-touted monthly Establishment survey report showed “blowout” job gains throughout most of the year. Indeed, over the past year, the Establishment survey has repeatedly showed considerably more job growth than both the BED report and the Household survey. Another source we can now consider is the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), also released by the Burau of Labor Statistics. This report is prepared quarterly, rather than monthly. It provides far more detail than the Establishment report, and QCEW surveys nearly twenty times more businesses than the Establishment survey. The most recent QCEW report revisions show—not surprisingly—job gains for