Geopolitical Shocks: How to Profit with Kuppy’s Macro Dreamscape

2024-05-24

Will the stock market rise another 50% by 2030? Dr. Ed Yardeni believes there’s a substantial chance this could happen. We discuss why in this Global Macro Update interview.

Dr. Ed’s thesis cites increasing productivity, fueled by advances in technology. This aligns with my AI/productivity boom theme: AI and automation will supplement workers, who are in short supply, making companies much more productive.

Dr. Ed says, “Productivity is sort of fairy dust: It boosts real GDP, it keeps a lid on inflation, it allows wages to rise faster than prices, and it’s great for profit margins.”

Dr. Ed is a former chief investment strategist at Prudential Equity Group and at Deutsche Bank’s US Equity Group. Today, he runs Yardeni Research. His chief markets strategist, Eric Wallerstein (formerly of

2024-05-17

Intelligence expert Karim Hijazi says the online threats to our national security go well beyond TikTok. They are vast, largely invisible, and ever-present—and AI is only amplifying this.

Karim is the founder/CEO of cybersecurity firm Vigilocity, and we connected through Renè Aninao, the managing partner of CORBŪ.

Karim and I discuss how cyberspace has become the primary medium for spycraft and warfare among advanced nations. He says we are in a “new Cold War” that is “even more cold than it was before because it’s under the surface in a fairly murky and nebulous and cryptic world that most people just don’t understand.” And he backs that up with a stream of concrete examples.

You will also hear how cyberattacks produce kinetic damage, why your personal laptop might be a bigger

2024-04-05

Inflation is proving stickier than anyone would have hoped. Lyn Alden, the author of Broken Money: Why Our Financial System Is Failing Us and How We Can Make It Better and my guest today, offers a cogent explanation of why, likening it to the fiscal-driven inflation of the 1940s.

Lyn explains how the pandemic-era fiscal stimulus continues to affect our economy, along with increasing geopolitical instability and the runaway federal deficit. We also discuss bitcoin’s special role in emerging markets, vulnerabilities in our banking system, and the problem with India’s central bank digital currency.

Go here to learn about the Strategic Investment Conference:
https://www.mauldineconomics.com/go/JM543Z31/MEC

Go here to learn more about Lyn Alden: https://www.lynalden.com

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2024-03-15

Energy demand is set to skyrocket—in the US and around the globe. What if we could tap an energy source that is clean, abundant, and cheap? We could if regulators would get out of the way.

Aerospace and nuclear engineer Dr. Robert Zubrin highlights how oppressive regulation blocks nuclear projects without improving safety. You will hear about the exciting progress scientists are making with fusion and small modular reactors. We also cover how the US is ceding lucrative global nuclear markets to China.

Dr. Zubrin is the author of The Case for Nukes: How We Can Beat Global Warming and Create a Free, Open, and Magnificent Future. Learn more here:
https://bit.ly/3PhKy1S

Follow Dr. Robert Zubrin on X here:
https://twitter.com/robert_zubrin

Follow Dr. Robert Zubrin on LinkedIn here:

2024-03-07

India looks amazing on paper: 1.4 billion people, the world’s fastest-growing economy, rapid digitization, and arms wide open to foreign investment.

In this episode of Global Macro Update with Cognitive Investments partner Jacob Shapiro, you’ll hear about the hottest growth sector in India. Jacob gives it a “9 or a 10.”

We also cover Jacob’s predictions about India’s changing position in the multipolar world, which is one of my core investment themes.

I’ve written many times that India will be one of the few countries that can do business with both the East and West. Jacob says India’s success might force it to pick sides… or turn it into a global powerhouse in its own right.

You’ll find a link to the Gavekal Research founder Charles Gave interview I discuss with Jacob below.

Go

2024-02-09

Grant Williams connected me with Evergreen Gavekal CIO David Hay many years ago,
calling him “one of the good guys.”

In this interview, David and I unpack the future of nuclear energy and oil & gas investing,
along with the trouble in China’s stock and real estate markets.

David adds to my long list of reasons why China is un-investable right now. He also
shares a specific investing signal we should all watch—and deems it “the most
important thing” in our conversation. It’s a technique endorsed by Paul Tudor J ones.

You will also hear about the opportunities David sees in Japan, the ticker of an insurance
company David likes right now, and why he’s personally invested in molten salt small
nuclear reactors.

For all of us following the nuclear energy revival, David recommends reading

2024-01-26

The thought of risking American lives and resources over Taiwan leaves most Americans perplexed. The goal for the US here, which former DoD official Elbridge Colby and I agree on, is to avoid a war with China.

To do that, Elbridge says we urgently need to overhaul our defense strategy. He lays out a concise plan for this in my latest Global Macro Update interview.

Here’s Colby:

“[T]he best thing for the American people, and frankly the best thing for freedom and democracy in the world, is for us to not get in a war, but meet our core interests.”

Colby is a co-founder and principal of the Marathon Initiative, a foreign policy think tank, and the author of The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict.

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2024-01-19

Will the US go to war with China over Taiwan? Most Americans have a hard time seeing that as a real possibility. Why should the US care about an island right off China’s mainland that’s smaller than its biggest national park?

Foreign policy expert Elbridge Colby, who served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Development, breaks down China’s plan to dominate the Eastern Hemisphere—starting with Taiwan—and then challenge US hegemony.

Colby is a co-founder and principal of the Marathon Initiative, a foreign policy think tank, and the author of The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict.

Go here to subscribe to Global Macro Update:
https://www.mauldineconomics.com/go/JM528R/YTB

Learn more about Elbridge Colby here: