Tag Archive: Ray Dalio

The Importance of Having a Reserve Currency

When an empire runs out of its own money, it is able to increase the supply of money. However, printing more money causes borrowing to increase creating a financial bubble. I urge you to watch “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order” on my YouTube channel in the comments below to understand how, and what it means for all of us.

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Advice I Would Give My Younger Self

If I could give my younger self one piece of advice, it would be this: Your capacity to learn is far greater than your current knowledge. Many people let the need to be "smart" get in the way of open-mindedness. But if you can view life as an adventure and approach disagreement with curiosity instead of anger, you'll find yourself evolving to higher and higher levels. #principles #raydalio #advice #20s #30s

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Dalio Markets Online Principles Program

If you’re interested in learning about my most important investment and economic principles, I designed a course to help you do just that. It’s called the Dalio Market Principles Online program — a 30-hour curriculum I designed, in partnership with @Wealth Management Institute (WMI). You’ll learn about the forces that drive markets and asset returns, economic and currency cycles, paradigm shifts, and more. Better yet, you’ll get to test your own...

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Five Forces Shaping America’s Future

There are five major forces that together, operate in a big cycle: - Financial force – money, debts, markets, economy - Domestic political force – internal order and disorder, wealth gaps, and conflict between the left and the right - International world order force – great power conflicts as rising power challenges - Humans’ inventiveness force– Advances in technology - Acts of nature force – droughts, floods, and pandemics We can use these...

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You Can’t Control the World, But You Can Influence It

One of the most important lessons I’ve learned is to distinguish between what you can control and what you can’t. You’ll lead a much happier life if you’re able to focus your energy on the things you can influence — like how you treat others — and also learn how to adapt well to everything else. I’ve found that this perspective has provided me with a lot of equanimity.

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3 Keys to Having a Successful Country

After studying over 500 years of history, I’ve found there are really only three things you need to do to build a healthy society. First, educate your young people well—not just to be capable, but to be civil. If you have capable, civil people in a productive society, that’s a big part of the battle. Second, the finances must be sound: earn more than you spend and have more assets than liabilities. And third, don't get into a war—internally or...

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Ray Dalio on the AI Bubble

When new technologies emerge, people often assume the winning technology automatically means winning investments. History shows us that’s rarely the case. Most companies disappear as competition sorts out the winners and losers, but the underlying technology will endure and continue transforming the world. So are we in an AI bubble? Yes. But that has nothing to do with the lasting power of this innovation. @allin #ai #bubble #raydalio

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Ray Dalio on the Confliect in the Middle East

I’ve found that most wars are filled with surprises, but the stakes of this conflict are obvious: it all comes down to who controls the Strait of Hormuz. We’ve seen this pattern before—with the Dutch in the 17th century and the British in 1956. When a world power reveals military and financial weakness, the world order shifts. In my latest article, I look at the mechanics of the current Middle East crisis. You can find it here:...

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The Dalio Market Principles Online Program

I’m at a stage in my life in which I want to pass along the investment and economic principles I’ve learned. That’s why I created the Dalio Market Principles Online program, in partnership with @wealthmanagementinstitute . This online program is a collaborative experience. In it, you will be part of a community dedicated to understanding the patterns of history and applying market principles to them. And you’ll be able to stress test your thinking...

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Your AI Thought Partner

AI shouldn’t be something you just "follow"—it’s a partnership. The idea that we can make the best possible decisions by just juggling everything in our own heads is becoming obsolete. To really excel today, you need a thought partner. You need a system that can help you process information and logic more effectively than you can alone. I’ve codified my 50 years of experience into a new tool called Digital Ray to act as your personal...

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How Ray Dalio Learned to Invest

The most important early lesson I learned was to write down my criteria for making investment decisions so that I could turn them into decision rules. That’s because I discovered I could express my decision-making criteria in the form of algorithms that I could embed into computers. By running both decision-making systems — i.e., mine in my head and mine in the computer — next to each other, I learned the computer could make better decisions than...

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What’s Happening Now Has Happened Before

In order to have successful capital markets, you see the same things happen again and again. Since one man’s debts are another man’s assets, you have to keep interest rates not so high that they crush the debtor, without having them so low that they are bad for the creditor. That leads to cycles of money creation and borrowing that are predictable. These cycles must happen, due to the nature of the dynamic around them. Understanding the...

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Investing During a Changing World Order

Last week, I shared a chapter from my 2021 book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order that details the classic signs to watch for as the world geopolitical order breaks down in a classic progression of events that I call the "Big Cycle." By knowing what this classic process looks like and then comparing it with what is happening, one can better understand what is happening and what might happen. The article was very...

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I’m Launching My Own Substack

In my stage of life, I’m enjoying passing along the principles and thoughts that are helping me in order to help others. I’ve been doing that in my books and videos and here on social media, and I love our back-and-forth exchanges. To build on this, I will also be sharing my articles for free on Substack here: https://raydalio.substack.com/ for those readers who prefer that platform. These articles will be about principles, tools, and what’s...

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The Old Word Order Is Dead

At the Munich Security Conference earlier this month, the post-1945 world order was pronounced dead by most leaders. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said, “The world order as it has stood for decades no longer exists,” and that we are in a period “great power politics.” French President Emmanuel Macron echoed Merz’s assessment and said that Europe’s old security structures tied to the previous world order don't exist and that Europe must prepare...

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Ray Dalio Shares His Secret for Longevity

The secret to longevity is having meaningful work and meaningful relationships. I’ve found that both are required to sustain the energy to keep operating at a high level. That’s because you need a genuine, shared passion to make what you're doing as great as it can be. And you need to pursue that work with people you genuinely care about and who genuinely care about you. If you have those two things working in tandem, you have the basis for a...

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Wealth vs Money

Wealth isn’t worth anything unless it can be converted into money to spend. And when there’s a lot of wealth relative to the amount of hard money available — like we’re seeing today — bubbles are created. @nikhil.kamath

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Ray Dalio on What Has Changed in the United Sates in the Last 10 Years

The changes in the US over the last decade — rising inequality, massive deficits, and a shifting global outlook — are not isolated events. They are all interconnected and part of a dynamic that has occurred many times before for largely the same reasons. Understanding the mechanics at play matters far more than reacting to any short-term noise. Studying these patterns can help you understand why populism of the right and the left is rising...

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What Happens When a Country Accumulates Too Much Debt?

All empires since the Dutch have used capitalism to create a virtuous cycle that leads to an empire’s demise.What happens when an empire can no longer borrow the money necessary to repay its debts? History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and...

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Ray Dalio’s Strategy for Valuing Assets

All assets are valued in the same way: Their appreciation in price and their yield. Thinking about assets like this allows you to compare them. That’s important, because when you’re looking at the markets, you don’t want to just think about the absolute return. You want to be short on the assets that will have lower returns relative to those that will have higher returns. @nikhil.kamath

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