Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

#Markets #Money #Investing

Read More »

Markets have rallied up into resistance over the past few days, consolidating at previous resistance levels, waiting on today's inflation print. [NOTE: At 7:30a CDT, CPI reported "cooler" than expected, at 8.5% year over year.] Weaker inflation will be interpreted as being good for stocks, because the Fed may be compelled to slow their aggressive rate hike campaign. Regardless, markets are very overbought on a short-term basis.

Read More »

(8/10/22) Going back to school in a Recession: July CPI anticipation [NOTE: At 7:30a CDT, CPI reported "cooler" than expected, at 8.5% year over year], and watching the Yield Curve; NFIB sales expectations are plummeting; workers becoming less productive as wages rise; higher prices are being passed on to consumers; childhood diseases & garden hose immunity; Market Commentary: betting on the Fed to pivot; stock analysis: who's down 20%?

Read More »

(8/9/22) The debates are raging over whether we're seeing the dawning of a new Bull Market, or only a continuation of a Bear Market rally. Who'll be correct? More importantly, what should YOU do at this juncture? Markets have been improving, technically...a nice pattern of rising tops and bottoms has led markets back up to resistance levels from June of this year. If markets fail from this point, it will confirm the Bear Market Rally; however,...

Read More »

(8/9/22) Bemoaning the death of Olivia Newton-John and the loss of our youth; markets' behavior because there's no pressure on the Fed to pivot. Yet. Why flat beer may be the next thing: CO2 shortage, The Roberts' Family vacation: Driving in Italy and Yacht price inflation; hypocrisy of Millennials decrying capitalism on iPhones; NVIDIA & Peloton performance: The post-pandemic effect; lower expectations reflect return to "normal;"...

Read More »

(8/8/22) Negative market sentiment should lead to lower equity prices, but in the short-term, some bullish patterns emerge. Markets' three-week rally is tempting the media to hype the new, bullish mood. Markets still have a lot of work ahead as the Fed hikes rates and tightens policy in its inflation fight,. That's going to lower economic activity, which will, in turn, force stocks to reprice for that. If markets pull-back, where will support be...

Read More »

(8/8/22) The so-called "Inflation Reduction" Act gets a fresh skin, but it's the same old wine, and its impact on inflation will be to exacerbate the problem further. The newly re-named the "Climate Change & Tax Act" is the same old tax & spend bill as before; the devil is in the details. How the math really works, and why inflation will be lower in 2023, but not down to the Fed's 2% target. 10% of the bill will fund...

Read More »

(8/5/22) Today's Jobs Report should shed some light on what companies have been thinking as the economy wanes; are there more layoffs to come? The Inflation Reduction Bill will have unintended consequences; how inflation is hitting back to school expenses; dealing with the question of IRA Conversions; the exceptions to the rule: 72-T. How to leave a legacy with IRA's; investment scams we're seeing; how to keep more of your money and avoid the...

Read More »