Category Archive: 9a) Buy and Hold

(12/14/22) The latest Fed policy will be revealed this afternoon, along with a half-basis point hike in interest rates. It will be in the follow-up press conference that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell lays out his vision for what is to come. Markets meandered yesterday with the realization that inflation IS coming down, but at 7.1%, the Fed is not going to come off its rate hike campaign. All of the previous increases, and the ones to come, have still...

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(12/14/22) Inflation check-in a little weaker than expected, but CPI is still at 7.1% year over year. Markets sold off in response, but managed to stay positive. Attention today turns to the Fed's post-meeting presser at which time Chairman Powell will elaborate on future plans for interest rates; no pivot, but maybe a pause? Two weeks of bliss between now and EOY. How Hawkish will the Fed be? Fallout from the FTX scandal: How excess liquidity...

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(12/27/22) Sam Bankman-Fried arrested in Bahamas; the saga of FTX & future of crypto. Possible sentencing for SBF; who will be the next FTX to fail? Real people lost real money, and it was all they had. A review of SEC charges against SBF; civil liability + Federal criminal liability; a brief history of the SEC and regulation likely to come. 0:00 -The Saga of Sam Brinkman-Fried & FTX SEG-4: SEC vs SBF & FTX & History of SEC...

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(12/13/22) The much-anticipated CPI report for November clocked-in at 7.1%, a cooler-than-expected .1% vs. at .3% expected rate, and year-over -year CPI is 6.0%, also less than expected. [NOTE: This report was recorded prior to this morning's CPI release.] Monday's markets rallied just slightly above the 200-DMA, holding firm above the important 100-DM, trading sideways for the past month. The softer-than-expected CPI could provide lift in the...

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(12/13/22) It's "CPI Tuesay" [an this show was aire BEFORE toay's CPI release]. Expectations are for weaker numbers, which woul spike markets at the open, which the Fe woul hate. The Fe meeting commence toay--an they alreay know what the CPI number is. What happens when the reality of this year's rate hikes hit next year? Christmas shopping for Mrs. Roberts is always a challenge. PPI was hot; will CPI follow suit? What happens if......

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(12/26/22) Wall St.'s preictions are a frivolous attempt; Golman S&P target of 5,000 i not happen. What happens in an earnings recession? Valuations are not a goo market timing tool. Hoste by RIA Avisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Prouce by Brent Clanton, Executive Proucer -------- Watch the full show from which this segment is taken on our YouTube channel:...

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(12/21/22) Inflation in The 12-ays of Christmas = $45,523, up 10-1/2%. Househol inflation is much higher than CPI. Why is there such a isconnect? Price Inflation/Shrinkflation; why prices may not come own as rapily (or as much) as Inflation recees. You'll never see sub-$2-oil again. Hoste by RIA Avisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Prouce by Brent Clanton, Executive Proucer -------- Watch the full show from which this segment...

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(12/12/22) Remember the Big Short Squeeze we predicted way back in September? Negative sentiment and extra off-side positioning by investors was what was needed for the markets, and that has all played out as we thought. However, concern over the level of "overboughteness" in the rally, and proximity of triggering a MACD sell signal, have primed investors for profit-taking and risk reduction. What has been needed in December was sloppy...

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(12/12/22) What will CPI say? comparing the end of November to the end of December; CPI movement. FOMC meeting on Wednesday; emails asking about getting in to 10-Yr Treasuries; you've missed that boat. Looking ahead to CPI and inflation in The 12-days of Christmas = $45,523, up 10-1/2%. household inflation is much higher than CPI. Why is there such a disconnect? Price Inflation/Shrinkflation; why prices may not come down as rapidly (or as much) as...

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