Monthly Archive: November 2024
A Second Trump Term Stokes The Inflation Narrative
After Tuesday night's initial election results started to point to increasing odds of a Trump victory, bond yields began to rise sharply, as shown below. The surge in rates was not a sudden move. Over the past month, betting odds favoring a second Trump term and bond yields rose in unison. The narrative emerging from …
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After Victory, Trump Faces the Big Economic Problems
What is the Mises Institute?
The Mises Institute is a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics, individual freedom, honest history, and international peace, in the tradition of Ludwig von Mises and Murray N. Rothbard. Non-political, non-partisan, and non-PC, we advocate a radical shift in the intellectual climate, away from statism and toward a private property...
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How the Government Created Exorbitant Insulin Prices
The high price of insulin is increasingly present in American political discourse as presidential candidates boast of interventions; whereas, the Federal Trade Commission, states, and even counties and school boards have brought forth lawsuits, alleging price gouging and collusion between pharmaceutical giants and pharmacies. However, as is par for the course in American politics, policymakers ignore the reality that they—not the market—created...
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National Elections Expose the Sham that Is Centralized “Democracy”
The 2024 election is over, and in some states, big majorities voted for the winner Donald Trump. In Wyoming, Trump won 72 percent of the vote. In fact, more than 60 percent of the voting population went for Trump in 13 states.Fortunately for the majorities in those states, they’ll get the president they voted for.However, the outcome would have been different if fewer than a million people—in a nation of 330 million—had changed their votes in...
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The Evolution and Impact of Hotel Booking Systems
In the age of digital transformation, the travel and hospitality industry has witnessed a significant evolution, primarily driven by technological advancements. At the heart of this transformation lies the hotel booking system, a crucial tool that has reshaped the way travelers plan and book their accommodations. This article delves into the nuances of hotel booking …
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Why Trump Routed the D.C. Establishment, Again
After the media complained nonstop for months about Donald Trump offering a dark message on the presidential campaign trail, a New York Times headline bewailed his election victory on Wednesday morning: “America Hires a Strongman.” So anyone who cast a ballot became the moral equivalent of a mafia don hiring a hitman?The Times news analysis lamented, “This was a conquering of the nation not by force but with a permission slip. Now, America stands...
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Real Swiss wages likely to rise in 2025, says UBS bank
Real wages in Switzerland likely to rise in 2025 according to UBS
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USD/CHF Price Prediction: Potential Bull Flag pattern forming
USD/CHF might be developing a Bull Flag continuation pattern.
This suggests there will be an extension of the uptrend to upside targets higher.
USD/CHF – which looked as if it might be reversing trend and starting a new short-term downtrend at the start of the week – suddenly turned on a dime and spiked higher on Wednesday.
The pair rallied to a higher high, giving the established uptrend a shot in the arm. USD/CHF has since peaked and started...
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3 Tough Questions for the Fed at Thursday’s FOMC Presser
What is the Mises Institute?
The Mises Institute is a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics, individual freedom, honest history, and international peace, in the tradition of Ludwig von Mises and Murray N. Rothbard. Non-political, non-partisan, and non-PC, we advocate a radical shift in the intellectual climate, away from statism and toward a private property...
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Serenity Now
Overview: The markets are calmer after yesterday's post-US election drama. A consolidative tone has emerged in the foreign exchange market, and the dollar is softer against all the G10 currencies, led the 1% gain in the Norwegian krone, after the central bank left rates on hold. Sweden's Riksbank delivered the expected half-point cut and the krona is up 0.5%. Japanese officials warned against excessive moves, and the PBOC set the dollar's...
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The Limits to Public Opinion and the Failure of Democracy
It is not often admitted, but it is nevertheless the case, that the people can be never successfully represented politically. However, public opinion influences politics, at times even strongly. In all political systems, the ruling minority must take into account, to varying degrees, the public mood as expressed in town halls, polls, elections, demonstrations, and now, social media.The most stable and popular government is, therefore, not...
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Why Trump’s Victory Matters, and Why It Doesn’t
Donald Trump is the projected winner of the 2024 presidential election. After winning back states he had lost in 2020, Trump performed well in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania—states Kamala Harris needed to win. Trump has won more than enough electoral votes to win back the White House and, as of early Wednesday morning, is projected to win the popular vote. Republicans have also retaken control of the Senate. Control over the House of...
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De-dollarization Or Re-dollarization?
Some gold and Bitcoin bugs claim the U.S. dollar is being inflated away and that our politicians and the Fed are abusing its status as the world's reserve currency. While the narrative may sound logical, the fact of the matter is that the opposite is occurring. Despite growing de-dollarization narratives in traditional and social media, …
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Why Is Gold Surging?
Record deficit spending, soaring money supply, and inflation are among the likely responses we would hear from investors to the question of why gold is surging. Instead of presuming those or other market narratives about gold prices are correct, let's analyze historical correlations between gold and economic and market data. In addition to helping you …
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Swiss nerves jangle after Trump victory
Trump supporters celebrate victory in the US
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Promises, Promises
Both presidential campaigns are making outlandish promises in the waning hours before election day. Kamala Harris claims she will stop corporate price gouging with government force. The legislative mechanics of how she would do this are unknown. Prices distribute goods. A high price is a signal that more of that particular good should be produced. Increases in the level of all prices is caused by inflation of the money supply. Price inflation...
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US Dollar Soars and US Rates Jump
Overview: Shortly after the North American markets closed, before any results were known, the market jumped back into the "Trump trade," which it had pared on Tuesday. The dollar and US interest rates soared. The euro is the hardest hit among the G10 currencies today, off about 1.6% and the Canadian dollar, the best performer … Continue...
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Entrepreneurial Profit Follows Good Decisions, Not Exploitation
Within the social order, characterized by the division of labor and private ownership of the means of production, there exists instances of human action—purposeful behavior—whose origins consist in the motive and choice to attain one’s ends. In entrepreneurial endeavors this entails outperforming fellow participants in serving consumers. Acting man in his entrepreneurial capacity, striving to expand the boundaries of attractive opportunities...
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No State Has a Right to Exist. That Includes the State of Israel.
States do not have rights. States, after all, are just organizations with a monopoly on the means of coercion within a certain territory. They are not natural, and certainly do not enjoy any natural rights. At their best, states can be used to protect the rights of the people who live within their borders. States are usually not at their best, however. Usually, state powers are employed to violate the rights of the people unfortunate enough to live...
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Survey Says: Disconnects Abound in School Opinions and Knowledge
What is the Mises Institute?
The Mises Institute is a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics, individual freedom, honest history, and international peace, in the tradition of Ludwig von Mises and Murray N. Rothbard. Non-political, non-partisan, and non-PC, we advocate a radical shift in the intellectual climate, away from statism and toward a private property...
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