The Indian central banker Rajan recently accused his Western colleagues of lax policy until 2007. Furthermore he argued that FX intervention using so-called “quantitative easing or exchange intervention” (QEE) help to dry up the needed money supply in India. We will look on his statement from this money supply angle: In some countries, the money multiplier is falling, due to QE or QEE, in some others it is increasing, mostly due to central bank tightening. Does this data justify to speak of a secular stagnation?
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