Tag Archive: intervention

FX Daily, March 10: Markets Stabilize after Body Blow

Overview:  It appears after a few days of miscues, US officials struck the right chord, and the global capital markets seemed to stabilize shortly after the US session ended.  President Trump's press conference today is expected to spell out in greater detail relief for households and businesses.  Asia Pacific equities rallied, led by a 3% surge in Australia.

Read More »

Lessons from History: The Volcker Moment and the First Cap on CHF



Read More »

Is the SNB Intervening Again?

Update March 21, 2014: Total SNB sight deposits increased to 367.8 bln. CHF, but flows reverted a bit. Foreign banks and “non-banks” reduced their CHF exposure at the SNB to 50.8 bln, possibly converting a part of the difference into USD. Dollars are more useful when sanctions will hurt both Russian and German firms. On … Continue...

Read More »

Has Abenomics Failed? Let us Go for Exchange Rate Targeting and Maintain Stability

Abenomics has failed It was doomed from the very beginning. You cannot create out of risk-averse Japanese risk-tolerating Americans. Public Japanese opinion puts enormous pressure on BoJ policy and on the government; the risks of rising  JGB yields are too high. Japanese hate volatility, the government cannot risk its funding. The emphasis on the word …

Read More »

The next SNB rumor: Wall Street Journal and our response

A bit breathlessly….     The next SNB rumor story comes from the so-well established Wall Street Journal, its columnist Nick Hastings. WSJ: The Swiss National Bank was bold before. And the central bank would be well advised to be just as bold again. When the SNB announced just over a year ago that it was setting a …

Read More »

The Swiss television interview with Thomas Jordan, or was it Leonid Brezhnev ?

   Today Thomas Jordan gave a quick interview in the Swiss television. Everything was so well prepared and as sterilized. Thomas Jordan learned all answers by heart and was answered the questions about one second after the question was asked. It reminded me of an interview in Soviet television with former Soviet leader Leonid Brezhnev. Each …

Read More »

How former central bankers stepped up against the central banks

There are already three former European central bankers who criticize more or less openly the European Central Bank (ECB).

Read More »

The win of the pro-bailout parties in the Greek elections was no win for the SNB

  The win for the pro-bailout parties in the Greek elections was no win for the Swiss National Bank (SNB), even if the fear of an immediate bank-run and extreme money flows into Switzerland are avoided.  Also the fact that QE3 is not coming in the next weeks did not help the SNB.

Read More »

Will the SNB double or triple the forex reserves before they give in ?

Some economists have claimed that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be always able to maintain the floor. As opposed to George Soros’ defeat of the Bank of England, the SNB is able to print money ad infinitum, whereas the BoE had limited currency reserves to support sterling. The question, however, is where this “infinitum” …

Read More »

SNB buys Swiss Francs and sells Euro: Welcome to the EUR/CHF peg

Why the big Q1 loss of the SNB was actually a big win for the central bank Anybody watching the EUR/CHF exchange rate this year was wondering why the volatility the pair saw last year had completely left. The pair slowly fell from 1.2156 over 1.2040 at the end of Q1 to 1.2014 today. FX … Continue reading...

Read More »

Swiss Franc Surges to Record High (December 2010)

Dec. 29th 2010  Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (December 2010)   In the last two weeks, the Swiss Franc rose to record highs against not one, not two, but three major currencies: the US Dollar, Euro, and British Pound. The Franc is now entrenched well above parity against the Dollar, and is … Continue...

Read More »

Capital controls: The poison cupboard of the SNB

The SNB has already tried a lot to weaken the franc. A (google) translation of a list of capital controls of the Never Mind the Markets blog.   The fear of the economic effects Brake by an overvalued franc increases. Massive interventions by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) with € purchases are now ineffective fizzles. Does it …

Read More »

SNB Abandons Intervention (June 2010)

Jun. 22nd 2010 Extracts from the history of the Swiss Franc (June 2010) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has apparently admitted (temporary) defeat in its battle to hold down the value of the Franc. ” ‘The SNB has reached its limits and if the market wants to see a franc at 1.35 versus the euro, … Continue reading »

Read More »

JP Morgan: Reflections on negative interest rates in Switzerland

Negative interest rates naturally attract attention given Switzerland’s use of these between 1972-1978.

Read More »

Swiss Franc Surges to Record High: Where was the SNB? (March 2010)

Mar. 26th 2010  Extracts from the history of the Swiss Franc (March 2010)   One of the clear victors of the Greek sovereign debt crisis has been the Swiss Franc, which has risen 5% against the Euro over the last quarter en route to a record high. 5% may not sound like much until you … Continue...

Read More »

The Line in Sand of 1.50 Collapses (December 2009, January 2010)

Jan. 26th 2010 Extracts from the history of the Swiss Franc Pull up a 1-year chart of the Euro against the Swiss Franc, and you’ll quickly notice a salient trend: the exchange rate has hovered slightly above €1.50 since last March, with three notable deviations. The first occurred last March, when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) …

Read More »

Swiss National Bank Still Committed to FX Intervention (July 2009)

Jul. 17th 2009 Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (July 2009). When the Swiss National Bank (SNB) intervened three weeks ago in forex markets, the Swiss Franc instantly declined 2% against the Euro. Since then, the Franc has risen slowly, and it’s now in danger of touching the “line in the sand” of …

Read More »

SNB Intervenes on Behalf of Franc (June 2009)

Jun. 26th 2009 Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (June 2009)   Back on March 12, the Swiss National Bank issued a stern promise that it would actively seek to hold down the value of the Swiss Franc (CHF) as a means of forestalling deflation. The currency immediately plummeted 5%, as traders made … Continue...

Read More »

SNB Fulfills Promise of Forex Intervention, Franc Collapses (March 2009)

Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (March 2009).   Mar. 17th 2009   Last week, the Forex Blog concluded a post on the Swiss Franc by suggesting that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) could artificially depress the value of its currency, which had “not just posted strong gains against the eurosince late August …

Read More »