Category Archive: 4.) Forex Live
August 24 technical report: The USD moves higher today as Jackson Hole approaches
What technical levels are in play for August 24, 2022
In the morning forex report, i outline the levels in play for the major currency pairs as the clock ticks toward the Jackson Hole Symposium and the Chair Powell speech on Friday at 10 AM.
The USD is higher on the day with some of the pairs breaking away from MA levels increasing the dollar bullish bias. The AUDUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY are all making a break.
The EURUSD is moving closer to the 20...
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The morning forex technical report for August 23, 2022. What is driving the forex market
The EURUSD made another new low going back to December 2002, reaching to 0.9900. The price high stayed below the swing low from July 2022 at 0.99515 keeping the sellers in firm control. The 14 day RSI is diverging and moving toward oversold, but the price still needs to get and stay above 0.99515 if the pair is going higher.
The USDJPY move to a new high going back to July, and on the downside stalled just ahead of the June high near 137.00. ...
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USDCAD trades to the highest level since July 15
The USDCAD on the daily chart has admittedly been sloppy. There are a lot of moves higher and moves lower on the daily chart going back to October 2021.
In the short term, however, the price of the USDCAD has been up 5 of the last 6 trading days. Price action is more trending, or is it?
The price is approaching topside swing levels between 1.3076 to 1.3092. That area will be eyed for the next clues for that pair. Move above is more bullish....
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The morning technical report: The EURUSD/GBPUSD drag along lows.The USDJPY is up & down.
- The trading week is off and running.
- The EURUSD is lower and trading above and below the key parity level. Sellers in control. What might give a short term positive bias in the face of difficult fundamentals
- GBPUSD is also suffering largely from the same fundamental down bias. The price got closer to the low for 2022 at 1.1759. Sellers are more in contol, but the price action is confined
- USDJPY is up for the 5th day, in an up and down...
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The weekend Forex report for the week starting August 22, 2022
In this weekend video, I review and preview the fundamental influences in the market and then look at the technicals in the market that are defining the bias, and risk with the focus on the major currencies vs the USD.
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August 19, 2022: The morning technical report looks at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
The USD is the strongest of the major currencies as Fed comments send the greenback higher. That has the EURUSD and GBPUSD moving to new week (and multi-week) lows. The USDJPY has also broken in favor of the USD as well.
What levels are in play with a focus on risk and targets from a technical perspective as trading heads toward the weekend.
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Bitcoin technical analysis
Bear flag still seems in play for BTCUSD, so we may be at the end of a bullish retracement within a down trend that is still in play. Bears are looking better than the bulls. Long term buyers seeking to enter or increase positions should wait for a daily candle to close above $26000.
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New lows in the GBPUSD as London traders look to exitForexLive Video
The GBPUSD is moving to a new session low and in the process is moving away from the 1.2000 level. In the morning video, I spoke to the swing area between 1.2002 to 1.2019 support and the resistance against the 100 hour MA.
The lower swing area was rebroken into the London close and exit and this time, sellers have pushed with more downside momentum.
What next?
Watch the video and learn.
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The morning technical report for August 18, 2022ForexLive Video
The US data was a better than expectations with initial jobless claims coming down to 250K for the current week and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing index shoing a positive 6.2 vs -5.0 estimate. That data is in stark contrast to the Empire data released on Tuesday (-31.3). The USD has seen mostly up and down action. The EURUSD, GBPUSD moved up to test falling 100 hour MAs and moved back down keeping the bias more to the downside. The USDJPY...
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Nasdaq technical analysis, watch this next price magnet
Watch the full Nasdaq technical analysis at https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/nq-technical-analysis-must-see-key-levels/
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AUGUST 17: AUDUSD sharply lower but tests support target areaForexLive Video
The AUD is the weakest of the major currencies today with the AUDUSD leading the way. However, the fall to the downside has approached a lower swing area and the 50% retracement of the move up from the July swing low to the August swing high.
Buyers are leaning against the area and taking some profits against support is helping to stall the fall.
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The USD moves a bit higher after the US retails sales. What technical levels are in play?
The headline retail sales data was a little weaker than expected but the other components showed stronger underlying sales. That moved the USD a bit higher.
In the morning video report I take a look at the 3 major pairs: USDJPY
EURUSD
GBPUSD
and outline the key technical levels in play, the bias and the targets and explain why they are important.
Please give a thumbs up or thumbs down. Your feedback is also appreciated.
Good fortune with...
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Bitcoin technical analysis and trade idea followup
This is a follow up to a trade idea discussed and monitored on: https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/bitcoin-technical-analysis-and-trade-idea-follow-up-respect-the-20-day-ema/
A pullback now should touch the 20EMA on the BTCUSD daily timeframe. This isn't the first time the price has touched the 20 EMA, as the video shows. Previous pullbacks crossed it down. This pullback that missed it is significant. We wouldn't adjust trade if not....
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EURJPY finds sellers near the 200 hour MA, 38.2% and trend line resistance.
The EURJPY rallied to the upside today but could not sustain momentum above after finding resistance against the 200 hour MA, a downward sloping trend line and the 38.2% of the move down from the July 21 high.
Sellers leaned against those levels as risk could be defined and limited against the area.
It also tilted the bias back to the downside with risk being a move back above the cluster of resistance.
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GBPUSD moves to a new high. Extends toward resistance target near 1.2100.
The GBPUSD has pushed higher and trades above a key swing area near 1.2064 and now looks toward the 1.2100 level. The 200 hour MA looms above 1.21216. Close support at 1.2064 area for buyers looking for more upside. Sellers want to see 1.21000 level hold resistance now.
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USDJPY breaks above the 100/200 hour MAs tilting the bias higher in the short term
The USDJPY moved above the 100 and 200 hour MAs today, shifting the bias more to the upside (blue and green lines). The price has the 50% of the recent range as the new upside target now. Close ris is 134.314 and the 200 hour MA as well. Traders will not want the price to move back below the 200 hour MA if the buyers are to keep control.
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EURUSD moves down to test the high or the lower extreme and finds buyers
The EURUSD moved down to test the high of a swing area between 1.0096 and 1.0121. The low reached 1.0122 and bounced modestly higher. That low was equal to the August low as well. The 50% retracement of the range since July 14 is close topside resistance that would now need to be rebroken if the buyers are to take back more control. That level comes in at 1.01597. There is a swing area at 1.0144 to 1.0151 ahead of that level.
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Bitcoin technical analysis update, BTCUSD 24047.44 ▼
You can follow how an experienced trader thinks and plans a short trade on bitcoin here: https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/bitcoin-technical-analysis-bulls-might-be-giving-up-soon-20220813/
The above includes of ongoing monitoring and updates, and also provide a technical analysis snapshot for the crypto king.
Specifically here, you can see where potential profit taking can be executed, that are in line with the technicals.
Trade...
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AUDUSD trades between technical levels that just make sense. What do I mean?
Technical levels work because a lot of traders see them and use them to define and limit risk. If you can find multiple reasons near different technical tools, you have a low risk trading opportunity to lean and see what happens without risking much.
Those are trades you should look for each and every day.
"Risk a little. to make more than a little."
In this video, I outline what I mean using the AUDUSD as the basis for the low...
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