Category Archive: 7) Markets

Main Author John Henry Smith
John Henry Smith
John Henry Smith of Grail Securities specializes in the U.S. stock market and offers a unique and powerful advisory service to private investors, institutional investors, and SME asset managers, who are seeking to consistently beat the market. All our strengths are at your disposal to provide stock market research and recommendations with the only aim of growing wealth. To achieve this we develop with you a customized investment strategy in terms of your risk and return preferences.
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Marc Faber: Assets are overpriced, we short metals and Brent now

2012-10-11

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2012-10-11

Gold 2003-2012
As we predicted on October 5 or one day later on DailyFX, metals have started their descent, silver lost one dollar, from levels around 35$ last week to 34$ now. Marc Faber joins our view and says that asset prices are quite vulnerable. “I’m not 100% in cash, for the simple reason that I could … Continue reading »

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Marc Faber argues against Jim Rogers

2012-10-05

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2012-10-05

  The most famous investors Marc Faber and Jim Rogers were in a common interview on CNBC. Marc Faber is of our position, whereas Jim Rogers is still bullish on commodities.   Marc points out that China’s bench mark stock index the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index was at 6100 in 2007 even as it … Continue reading...

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Are German Bunds finally heading for the big slide ?

2012-09-14

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2012-09-14

German BOBL Future Sept 14
Citibank judges that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) does not need a peg anymore. The EUR/CHF exchange rate would be now over 1.20 even if exposed to the free market. Yesterday we showed that the upward move in the EUR/CHF is just the behavior of some euphoric Forex traders. In the meantime we see a completely … Continue reading »

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Volatility ETFs’ crazy churn

2012-08-10

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2012-08-10

VIX-ETFs
Two volatility ETFs (VXX and UVXY) are having almost half of the trading volume in the world’s largest ETF (SPY). How come?   First, the facts:   SPY is heavily traded (19% of assets daily turnover) compared to IVV (also referring to the S&P 500). But then come the volatility ETFs. Tiny VIXY (assets $145m) … Continue reading...

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German Schatz turns negative again

2012-07-18

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2012-07-18

Government bond yields under 1% July 18th
After the first time End May, the German Schatz turns negative: German June 2014 Schatz Average Yield -0.06% vs 0.10% on June 20 Swiss Eidgenossen 2yrs still at -0.4%

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Die Wirtschaftskommission hat den Goldfranken abgelehnt, jetzt kommt die Volksinitiative

2012-07-08

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2012-07-08

Goldfranken
 Zwei Initiativen für Kleinanleger um das Geld/Gold vor den Mächtigen zu retten Der Ökonom Detlev Schlichter der “Österreichischen Schule” hat einen Vortrag beim “Verein Goldfranken” gehalten. Hier der äquivalente Vortrag auf Englisch beim Adam-Smith-Institut in den USA. Die Kritik an der Boom und Bust Politik der Nationalbanken.  

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Spread Swiss Eidgenossen vs. German Bund to see further gains

2012-06-29

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2012-06-29

Germany Swiss Spread
The spread between the Swiss government Eidgenossen bond against the Germany 10yrs. Bund will see further gain in the future, after the Euro summit opened the door for ESM direct financing of banks.   Differences between EFSF and ESM explained

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The other risk for the SNB: Will German Bund yields double ?

2012-06-20

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2012-06-20

10 yrs. Bunds
In the latest post we started discussing the implications of a German euro exit for the Swiss National Bank, this time we will look on another risk: The rising German Bund yields.

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Oil price increases in 2012 and why they are not real

2012-02-26

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2012-02-26

Gasoline consumption
Oil prices  Oil prices will rise quickly this year along with the recovery, the Iran issues and last but not least driven by investor demands of yield, implemented in the HFT algos. Interestingly the Iran issues already existed in December, but oil prices were falling, at that moment investors did not believe in a global recovery yet, …

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(9d) Oil

oil refinery


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