Category Archive: CHF History

Main Author George Dorgan
George Dorgan

George Dorgan (penname) predicted the end of the EUR/CHF peg at the CFA Society and at many occasions on SeekingAlpha.com and on this blog. Several Swiss and international financial advisors support the site. These firms aim to deliver independent advice from the often misleading mainstream of banks and asset managers.
George is FinTech entrepreneur, financial author and alternative economist. He speak seven languages fluently.

EUR/CHF, Market betting on Floor Hike, December 2011

Four Trades For 2012: #2 Sell The Swiss Franc I bought EUR/CHF shortly after the 1.20 peg was introduced and have held it ever since. My only regret has not been trading the range more aggressively. At this point everyone has an opinion of the SNB so I won’t try to convince the bears. Personally, … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF, A History, Market Betting on Floor Hike: November 2011

Rumour Of A Softer KOF Swiss Leading Indicator… Expected  0.63 vs previous 0.80, but the number now being touted is 0.35 EUR/CHF is getting a leg up on this around 1.2283 now from  1.2260 earlier By Pete Jackson  || November 30, 2011 at 10:21 GMT Large Corporate Bids In EUR/CHF…. At 1.2250  I’m told  it relates to … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF Markets Betting on Floor Hike: October 2011

  October 2011 Looks Like Market Exercising The Free EUR Put The SNB Bought For It EUR/CHF has been under pressure for the the last two weeks despite Herculean efforts by the EU/IMF to bailout the euro zone. It looks as if the market is taking up the SNB on its offer the buy unlimited … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions: September 2011: The Floor Introduction

SNB Spotted In The Cross Today… Traders say the SNB was seen on the bid in lumpy size on the quick slide toward 1.2120 shortly after the open of US equity cash markets at 13:30. We’ve quickly bounced to 1.2170. By Jamie Coleman  || September 30, 2011 at 14:20 GMT Category: All, Americas, Mkt Talk, Regions || Tags: EUR/CHF || 0 comments || Add …

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EUR/CHF: A History of Interventions: August 2011: the Top

  EUR/CHF Kicked Lower Again Hitting a new low this week of  1.1545 and is  down over 300 pips on the day. The moved largely initiated by a major swiss name earlier apparently in conjunction with a hedge fund. Comments from the Swiss Econ Min over the last hour hardly helping matters, after the govt aid package … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): July 2011

ForexLive Asian Market Open EUR/USD is trading around 1.4390 and USD/JPY is at 77.20 as the market awaits the latest developments out of Washington. Risk pairs like EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are likely to be whippy this morning as the headlines hit the newswires. Good luck out there. By Sean Lee  || July 31, 2011 at 20:49 … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): June 2011

Specs Scrambling For Cover In EUR/CHF The Armageddon trade is being taken off in dramatic size in thin-month-end markets, driving EUR/CHF above 1.2200. USD/CHF is nearing resistance at 0.8440. Traders not talk of significant interest from real money accounts to buy both USD/CHF and USD/JPY at the fixing at 15:00 GMT. The danger now is … Continue reading »

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The Swiss Franc is the Only Safe Haven Currency (June 2011)

 Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (June 2011)   Jun. 23rd 2011 According to conventional market wisdom, there are three safe haven currencies: the Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, and US Dollar. It is to these currencies that investors flock whenever there is a crisis, or merely an outbreak of uncertainty, and for much …

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How to Trade the Franc-Yen-Dollar Correlation (June 2011)

Extracts from the history of the Swiss Franc (June 2011)   Jun. 6th 2011   Last week, the Wall Street Journal published an article entitled, “Currency Correlations Lose Their Way for Now.” My response: It depends on which currencies you’re looking at. I, too, recently posted about the break-down of multi-year correlations, specifically involving the …

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): May 2011

May 2011 ForexLive Asian Market Open: Analysis With Fries Just brilliant Jamie Australian GDP this morning and the market is now gearing itself for a poor number after yesterday’s data and weekend comments from the Treasurer. China is selling rallies in AUD/USD and Middle East Sovereigns are buying big dips; sounds like a recipe for medium … Continue reading »

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Swiss Franc at record highs (May 2011)

May. 27th 2011 Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (May 2011) This month, the Swiss Franc touched a record high against not one, but two currencies: the US dollar and the Euro. Having risen by more than 30% against the former and 20% against the latter, the franc might just be the world’s … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): April 2011

Quick Look At The Order Board EUR/USD: At least two sizeable barriers at 1.4550; light stops immediately above 1.4555; decent-sized offers near 1.4600 AUD/USD: Decent-sized bids from option players 1.0610/20 USD/JPY: Solid bids 82.00, 81.80, 81.50. Offers still solid 83.10, 83.30 and somewhat larger near 83.50. EUR/GBP: Heavy stops above .8950 EUR/CHF: Moderate buying interest near …

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): March 2011

March 2011 Swiss KOF Leading Growth Indicator 2.24 In March Up from revised 2.19 in February (initial 2.18.) Stronger than median forecast of 2.15. Bit of a surprise.  EUR/CHF lower, presently at 1.2978. By Gerry Davies  || March 30, 2011 at 09:39 GMT EUR/USD: Look To The Crosses For Guidance EUR/JPY has made a significant move … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): February 2011

February 2011 EUR/USD Outlook EUR/CHF looks like its forming important technical support at 1.2700 and should go higher. EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY are best described as choppy but the EUR/AUD is also exhibiting some ‘basing’ tendencies. With the USD in sell mode, the path of least resistance for EUR/USD would seem to be up. It will not … Continue reading...

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Has the Swiss Franc Reached its Limit? (February 2011)

Feb. 6th 2011 Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (February 2011) The second half of 2010 witnessed a 20% rise in the Swiss Franc (against the US Dollar), which experienced an upswing more closely associated with equities than with currencies. It has managed to entrench itself well above parity with the Dollar, and …

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): January 2011

ForexLive Asian Market Open: Risk Aversion To The Fore Fears of an escalation of the troubles in Egypt and a possible spread throughout the region have led to some risk aversion in early interbank trade. EUR/JPY is trading at 111.40 after closing at 111.75 on Friday night, USD/JPY is trading just below 82.00, and EUR/CHF … Continue reading »

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): December 2010

Hildebrand Unable To Unload ‘Burden’ Of Record Franc As GDP Seen Slowing Bloomberg article. EUR/CHF down at 1.2595 from early 1.2635. Just reading UBS forex strategists say they are bearish the cross, focusing on 1.2439 ahead of 1.2283.  They see resistance at 1.2714. They also forecast a fall in USD/CHF.  See break through support at … Continue reading...

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Swiss Franc Surges to Record High (December 2010)

Dec. 29th 2010  Extracts from the history of the Swiss franc (December 2010)   In the last two weeks, the Swiss Franc rose to record highs against not one, not two, but three major currencies: the US Dollar, Euro, and British Pound. The Franc is now entrenched well above parity against the Dollar, and is … Continue...

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): November 2010

EUR/CHF Continues Lower Presently down at 1.3055 from early 1.3090, having been as low as 1.3037 so far. Earlier I was reading comments made by UBS economist Huenerwadel, who said “At least from a fundamental point of view and aware of the increased long CHF positioning, very little speaks in favour of a materially higher EUR/CHF … Continue reading...

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EUR/CHF: One Year of Free Market (07/2010-07/2011): October 2010

EUR/CHF Up On Day; Talk Of 1.3700 Option Interest EUR/CHF up at 1.3680 from early 1.3635.  Talk of 1.3700 option interest.  Guess we should expect some defensive selling to kick in then. By Gerry Davies  || October 27, 2010 at 09:11 GMT Cititechs Cut Long EUR/GBP Position As I wrote yesterday, I thought this was a bad … Continue reading »

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