What is New?
-
Nationalbank ist vom Nutzen der Negativzinsen überzeugt
23 hours agoDie SNB hält am negativen Leitzins von −0,75% unverändert fest.Die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) belässt den Leitzins und den Zins auf Sichtguthaben bei der SNB unverändert bei -0,75%, wie sie an ihrer geldpolitischen Lagebeurteilung am Donnerstag mitteilte. Sie ist weiterhin bereit, bei Bedarf am Devisenmarkt zu intervenieren und berücksichtigt dabei die gesamte Währungssituation.
Read more » -
Digitales Zentralbankgeld bringt laut Bundesrat gegenwärtig keinen Zusatznutzen
1 day ago -
Swiss economy tipped to remain stagnant next year
1 day ago -
The Most Important UK Election of the Century So Far
1 day ago -
Why the Courts Aren’t All They’re Supposed to Be
1 day ago -
Negativzinsen ab dem ersten Franken?
2 days ago -
Fritz Zurbrügg – «Wir machen nicht Geldpolitik für irgendwelche Sektoren»
2 days ago
SNB and CHF
-
Nationalbank ist vom Nutzen der Negativzinsen überzeugt
23 hours agoDie SNB hält am negativen Leitzins von −0,75% unverändert fest.Die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB) belässt den Leitzins und den Zins auf Sichtguthaben bei der SNB unverändert bei -0,75%, wie sie an ihrer geldpolitischen Lagebeurteilung am Donnerstag mitteilte. Sie ist weiterhin bereit, bei Bedarf am Devisenmarkt zu intervenieren und berücksichtigt dabei die gesamte Währungssituation.
Read more » -
Digitales Zentralbankgeld bringt laut Bundesrat gegenwärtig keinen Zusatznutzen
1 day ago -
Negativzinsen ab dem ersten Franken?
2 days ago -
Fritz Zurbrügg – «Wir machen nicht Geldpolitik für irgendwelche Sektoren»
2 days ago -
Referenzzins – SNB-Direktorin Maechler drängt auf rasche Saron-Umstellung
3 days ago -
Geldpolitik – Trotz steigender Kritik: Schweizerische Nationalbank lässt Negativzins unverändert
3 days ago -
Monetary policy assessment of 12 December 2019
4 days ago
Gold and Bitcoin
-
The Most Important UK Election of the Century So Far
1 day agoThere’s only one story in the UK this morning – it’s the day Britain goes to the polls. It’s no exaggeration to say that this election is probably the most important of the century so far. If the ruling Conservative party wins a clear majority, then some form of Brexit is almost certain to go ahead.
Read more » -
Retail digital franc remains taboo for Switzerland
2 days ago -
Gold $1600 In 2020 as Case for Diversifying into Gold ‘as Strong as Ever’ – Goldman
5 days ago -
The End of an Epoch, Report 8 Dec
6 days ago -
Blockchain shares – who needs lawmakers?
8 days ago -
Largest Gold Nugget in Britain Found in River in Scotland – “Experts” Concerned About a Scottish Gold Rush
10 days ago -
Global ‘Gold Rush’ Beginning As Investors and Central Banks Buy, Repatriate and Move Gold
10 days ago
Austrian Economics
-
Why the Courts Aren’t All They’re Supposed to Be
1 day agoIn the United States, law courts routinely hand out court order mandating payments to victims. And then do little to enforce them. For example, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, in 2015 only 43.5 percent of custodial parents received the full amount of court-ordered child support payments. 25.8 percent received partial payment while 30.7 percent — a figure which is trending higher — received no payments.
Read more » -
Why Central Banks Aren’t Really Setting Interest Rates
3 days ago -
Central Banks May Be Driving Us Toward More Waste, More Carbon Emissions
4 days ago -
The destruction of civilization – implications of extreme monetary interventions
5 days ago -
Why this Boom Could Keep Going Well Beyond 2019
6 days ago -
How California’s Government Plans to Make Wildfires Even Worse
7 days ago -
Blue Laws: Consumers, Not Capitalists, Are the Reason We’re Working on Sunday
9 days ago
Swiss & European Macro
-
ECB: Preview of the review
2 days agoWe see the ECB remaining on hold throughout next year although we believe it could tweak some of the technical parameters of its toolkit. The first press conference of any new ECB President is an event in itself, and this time will be no different. Christine Lagarde's debut this week will understandably attract a lot of attention as the media and market participants scrutinise both form and substance.
Read more » -
Swiss Producer and Import Price Index in November 2019: -2.5 percent YoY, -0.4 percent MoM
4 days ago -
Switzerland Unemployment in November 2019: Up to 2.3 percent, seasonally adjusted unchanged at 2.3 percent
6 days ago -
Upward pressure on equity volatility mitigated by fund flows
9 days ago -
Core sovereign bonds 2020 Outlook
10 days ago -
Swiss Consumer Price Index in Novemeber 2019: -0.1 percent YoY, -0.1 percent MoM
13 days ago -
Swiss Retail Sales, October 2019: +0.1 percent Nominal and +0.9 percent Real
14 days ago
Swiss Markets & News
-
Swiss economy tipped to remain stagnant next year
1 day agoThe Swiss economy is not expected to see any sustainable growth until 2021 at the earliest, according to government forecasters. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) agreed, keeping negative interest rates unchanged. A government expert group concluded that economic growth would rise only 0.9% this year, 1.7% in 2020 and 1.2% in 2021.
Read more » -
Swiss firms’ investments double abroad
2 days ago -
Can Swiss business and human rights co-exist?
3 days ago -
Nestlé identifies over 18,000 child labourers in cocoa supply chain
4 days ago -
Swiss seek compromise amid ‘lack of will’ at climate talks
5 days ago -
Swiss asset managers linked to Austrian corruption scandals
7 days ago -
Another month of falling prices in Switzerland
7 days ago
FX Trends
-
FX Daily, December 13: Stunning Tory Victory and US-China Trade Boosts Risk Assets
3 days agoOverview: The combination of a US-China trade deal and exit polls showing the Tories securing a majority in the House of Commons boosted risk assets, sent sterling flying, and the euro sharply higher. Separately, the Fed stepped up its efforts to make as smooth as possible funding over the turn of the year.
Read more » -
FX Daily, December 12: Enguard Lagarde
4 days ago -
FX Daily, December 11: Sterling Holds Firm Despite Tighter Poll
5 days ago -
FX Daily, December 10: Capital Markets: Still Seems to be the Calm before the Storm
6 days ago -
FX Daily, December 09: China’s Steps-Up Import Substitution Strategy while USMCA Comes Down to the Wire
7 days ago -
FX Weekly Preview: An Eventful Week Ahead
7 days ago -
FX Daily, December 6: And Now for the Employment Report
10 days ago
Global Macro & Emerging Markets
-
Lagarde Channels Past Self As To Japan Going Global
2 days agoAs France’s Finance Minister, Christine Lagarde objected strenuously to Ben Bernanke’s second act. Hinted at in August 2010, QE2 was finally unleashed in November to global condemnation. Where “trade wars” fill media pages today, “currency wars” did back then. The Americans were undertaking beggar-thy-neighbor policies to unfairly weaken the dollar.
Read more » -
Risk Assets Rally as Major Tail Risks Ease
3 days ago -
The FOMC Channels China’s Xi As To Japan Going Global
3 days ago -
Why “This Sucker Is Going Down”
4 days ago -
If Trade Wars Couldn’t, Might Pig Wars Change Xi’s Mind?
4 days ago -
Disposable (Employment) Figures
5 days ago -
The BIS Misses An Opportunity To Get Consistent With The Facts
5 days ago
Markets
-
The Golden Autumn Season – One of the Most Reliable Seasonal Patterns Begins
2019-10-30The Strongest Seasonal Stock Market Trend. Readers may already have guessed: when the vibrant colors of the autumn leaves are revealed in all their splendor, the strongest seasonal period of the year begins in the stock market – namely the year-end rally. Stocks typically rise in this time period. However, there are questions, such as: how often does a rally take place, how strong is it, and when is the best time for investors to enter the...
Read more » -
America’s Road Map to $40 Trillion National Debt by 2028
2019-10-21 -
Tidbits Of Further Warnings: Houston, We (Still) Have A (Repo) Problem
2019-10-18 -
Head Faking In The Empty Zoo: Powell Expands The Balance Sheet (Again)
2019-10-09 -
Money Markets: Sizing Up the Cavalry
2019-09-26 -
More Than A Decade Too Late: FRBNY Now Wants To Know, Where Were The Dealers?
2019-09-24 -
What’s The Verdict On This Week?
2019-09-21
CHF End of Peg
-
Impressive Swiss Recovery After SNB Peg Removal
2015-06-28Retail data shows that the SNB peg removal in January 2015 as early as April 2015 with minimal adverse impact on the economy. Trade surplus showed that Switzerland had fully recovered its lost trade surplus in May and expectations crossed an important threshold into positive territory in June. CHF strengthened since May end, as the market caught wind of the Swiss recovery, and the Grexit would further strengthen the CHF if it were to occur.
Read more » -
Q1/2015: Swiss Real GDP Rises by 15 percent … in Euro Terms
2015-06-18 -
Is the Swiss Franc Really so Expensive or is Swiss Consumption anemic?
2015-02-21 -
End of EUR/CHF Peg
2015-02-21 -
Colin Lloyd on the end of the EUR CHF peg
2015-02-06 -
Why did the Swiss franc spike? Lack of Capital Outflows
2015-01-28 -
What Caused The Swiss Financial Tsunami? Three Reasons, One Trigger, One Chain Reaction
2015-01-20
The History of the Swiss Franc
-
Volckers Attack on Stagflation
2014-06-22In this chapter we describe how Volcker managed to defeat stagflation; he applied the monetarist models that had been applied successfully in Switzerland and Germany. Thanks to this effort, the dollar stopped its secular decline.
Read more » -
Swiss Franc History: Volcker’s defeat of inflation strengthens dollar, weakens Swiss franc
2014-06-22 -
Swiss Franc History: Volcker Shock, Oil Glut and the Breakdown of Gold and Emerging Markets
2014-06-22 -
The Secret History Of The Banking Crisis
2017-08-14 -
Swiss Franc History, from 2004 to 2009: The undervalued franc
2014-06-22 -
Swiss Franc History: Weak German and Swiss growth between 1996 and 2004
2014-06-22 -
Swiss Franc History: From Bretton Woods until the Swiss real estate crisis
2014-06-22
Economic Theory
-
Mainstream Economics, The Long Run
2012-12-30
Read more » -
7b) Major Schools of Economics
2012-12-30 -
Is China’s Growth Rate Healthy Now? Golden Rule of Capital
2012-10-21 -
Volckers Attack on Stagflation
2014-06-22 -
Minsky and Kindleberger
2012-12-30 -
The Cost-Push Inflation Legend
2014-02-01 -
Social and Geographic Theories and the Euro Crisis
2012-12-30
Richard Koo and Sector Balances
-
Weak Yen, Is it Really a Currency War?
2014-11-04Some journalists, like Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the U.K.'s Telegraph and Michael Casey of the Wall Street Journal, have already claimed this to be a shot in the currency wars. Casey focuses exclusively on the BOJ activity and does not even mention GPIF. Evans-Pritchard spends most of his time talking about the bearish yen implications of the increased BOJ purchases, and mentions GPIF only at the very end of the his essay, and even then to...
Read more » -
Richard Koo, Revitalizing the Eurozone without Fiscal Union, April 2012
2012-05-18 -
7d) Richard Koo’s and other Sector Balances
2014-05-18 -
How Long Will the U.S. Recovery Last? A Reminder: The False Japanese Recovery in 1998/1999
2014-02-15 -
Richard Koo: Balance Sheet Recessions
2012-12-30 -
Balance Sheet Recession becomes mainstream, four years too late
2014-05-18 -
Cultural Reasons for Japan’s Deflation: Can the U.S. Go into a Balance Sheet Recession?
2014-04-20