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Europe – ECB preview

Europe – ECB preview
Author: Frederik Ducrozet
Categories: Pictet Macro Analysis, Swiss and European Macro

Market participants have enjoyed a protracted period of very low volatility, but it may well have come to an end in 2018. Central banks are often said to be responsible for the disappearance of volatility, for example through their large-scale asset purchases, which have compressed the term premium. But, now that the same central banks are heading for the exit from unconventional policies, they, too, need to relearn how to live with volatility.

Jobless in Switzerland after 55 – most end up longterm unemployed

Age discrimination Switzerland
Author: Investec
Categories: Swiss Markets and News

Age discrimination in the Swiss job market appears to be getting worse. Between 2010 and 2016, the number of over 55s on welfare increased by 50.5%, something that cannot be fully explained by an aging population. The population aged between 56 and 64 only increased by 11.6% over the same period.

Average expat in Zurich earns more than $200,000

Average expat in Zurich earns more than $200,000
Author: Swissinfo
Categories: Swiss Markets and News

Zurich and Geneva are among the top cities in the world for expat salaries, according to this year’s HSBC expat salary survey. The average expat can look forward to a pay packet of $206,875 (CHF191,960) in third-place Zurich and $184,942 in fifth-place Geneva.

Data Distortions One Way Or Another

China Manufacturing PMI, Feb 2007 - 2018
Author: Jeffrey P. Snider
Categories: China

Back in October, we noted the likely coming of two important distortions in global economic data. The first was here at home in the form of Mother Nature. The other was over in China where Communist officials were gathering as they always do in their five-year intervals. That meant, potentially. In the US our economic data for a few months at least will be on shaky ground due to the lingering economic impacts of severe hurricanes.

Durable and Capital Goods, Distortions Big And Small

US Durable Goods Orders, Jan 2013 - 2018
Author: Jeffrey P. Snider
Categories: Debt and the Fallacies of Paper Money, The United States

New orders for durable goods, excluding transportation industries, rose 9.1% year-over-year (NSA) in January 2018. Shipments of the same were up 8.8%. These rates are in line with the acceleration that began in October 2017 coincident to the aftermath of hurricanes Harvey and Irma. In that way, they are somewhat misleading.