SNB’s Jordan: Monetary policy is is still expansionary

Published on November 15, 2022

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Greg Michalowski
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SNB’s Jordan, who has been chatting more in the NY session at least of late, is no the wires saying:

monetary policy is a still expansionary
we have most likely to adjust monetary policy again
inflation is very thorny and there is still a risk that inflation will rise further
inflation rate is above our target now.
Expect it to be above our target if we don’t take that into account
central banks around the world are now in a tightening cycle

Yesterday Jordan said:

He sees weaker growth in 2023 than this year.
SNB still has credibility that inflation will moderate
Inflation has broadened
Sees limited 2nd round wage effects in Switzerland
There is a great probablility that SNB will need to further tighten monetary policy.
Nominal appreciation of the franc helps guard against inflation
The SNB stands ready to BUY OR SELL the keep the franc fx rate appropriate to steer inflation to target level
May hike in December but the decision will be data dependent

Looking at the daily chart of the USDCHF below, the pair moved below the August low at 0.9370 and traded to the lowest level since April 12. A momentum could not be sustained and the prices would backfire on the day. The high price stalled within a swing area between 0.9453 and 0.9479. A broken trend line cuts across near 0.9479.