USD/CHF Price Analysis: Pressured below 100-HMA, short-term resistance line

USD/CHF extends recovery gains from the two-day low. Sellers await a downside break of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A monthly trend line will keep buyers away. USD/CHF takes rounds to 0.9683 during the pre-European session on Thursday. In doing so, the pair bounces off Tuesday’s low. However, the pair still remains below the monthly resistance line while the MACD flashes the bearish signals for the first time in a week, which in turn portrays the underlying weakness to recall the bears.

USD/CHF stays beyond 23.6% Fibonacci retracement but fails to clear a fortnight-long falling trend line. 200-bar SMA, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement add to resistance. USD/CHF pierces 0.9700 by the press time of early Tuesday. The pair have recently been recovering but a downward sloping trend line since January 16 caps immediate upside.

USD/CHF registers four-day winning streak, nears one-week high. A falling trend line since December 25, seven-week-old horizontal resistance limits the immediate upside. Overbought RSI conditions increase the odds of a pullback. USD/CHF remains mildly positive while gaining 0.07% to 0.9745 amid the pre-Europe session on Thursday.

USD/CHF stalls the previous day’s declines after breaking the weekly support line (now resistance). Late-December lows limit immediate upside, 50% Fibonacci can check the declines. Bearish MACD favors further weakness in the quote. USD/CHF clings to 0.9755 during the pre-European session on Wednesday.

USD/CHF registers three-week winning streak, breaks above 38.2% Fibonacci retracement for the first time in a year. 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, September 2018 low act as the key supports. USD/CHF takes the bids to 0.9835 amid the pre-European session on Wednesday. In doing so, the pair crosses 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its broad run-up between February 2018 and April 2019.

USD/CHF remains on the back foot near the multi-week low. Bearish MACD signals further downside, key support question the sellers. 200-week SMA acts as the key upside barrier. Despite bouncing off September 2018 lows, USD/CHF stays 0.11% down while trading around 0.9640 during early Monday. Also portraying the pair’s weakness are bearish conditions of MACD.

Swiss franc losses strength versus USD, EUR despite risk aversion. USD/CHF modestly lower for the day after finding resistance at 0.9500. The USD/CHF was trading around 0.9470, modestly lower from the level it closed on Friday. The pair bottomed during the European session at 0.9390, following rate cuts from many central banks. It then rebounded as the DXY turned positive, trimming losses. 

USD/CHF traded with a positive bias for the sixth consecutive session on Monday. Bulls are likely to wait for a sustained move beyond the very important 200-DMA. The USD/CHF pair built on last week’s goodish positive move of around 300 pips and continued gaining traction for the sixth straight session on Monday.