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USD/CHF Price Analysis: 21-day SMA limits immediate downside

  • USD/CHF confronts 23.6% Fibonacci retracement following the bounce off 21-day SMA.
  • Early month lows add to the support while 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 50-day SMA will challenge recovery moves.
USD/CHF takes the bids to 0.9707 during the pre-Europe session on Friday. In doing so, the pair repeats the tendency of staying beyond 21-day SMA while also confronting 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of its declines from November 29, 2019, to January 16, 2020.

The sustained trading above short-term SMA is likely to extend the pair’s pullback moves toward a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.9770, following the clear break of 0.9820 mark comprising 23.6% of Fibonacci retracement.

However, a 50-day SMA level near 0.9781 and late-December 2019 top surrounding 0.9830 will challenge the buyers.

Alternatively, pair’s daily closing below 21-day SMA level of 0.9700 may recall early-month bottoms close to 0.9665 ahead of testing the monthly low of 0.9613.

USD/CHF daily chart

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USD/CHF daily chart

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Trend: Trend: Pullback expected


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Anil Panchal
Anil Panchal, has seven years of experience as a commodity research analyst and six years' rich knowledge of Forex markets. He holds a masters degree in Business Administration with Finance being specialization.
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