After the disappointing US current account data, traders have realized which countries have strong trade balances, namely Germany and Switzerland (see here for our details on the ever rising Swiss trade surplus), additionally fueled the good German IFO data. Both the euro and the Swissie strongly rose against the dollar. Due to Abe’s pressure on the Bank of Japan the yen lost, too. Additionally gold fell to 1673. The EUR/CHF remained nearly unchanged.
Consequently, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) lost nearly 1.85 billion francs in just one day. This is 231 francs, 250$ for each Swiss national, more than the average daily gross salary for the working population.
SNB Losses December 18, 2012
December 18th, SNB memorial day: Today we work for the central bank
We could declare December 18th, as the day when the whole of Switzerland needs to work for the central bankers. Unfortunately there might be some more days when the whole country will need to work for its central bank; especially if SNB’s weak inflation expectations are beaten by reality: the producer price index has already risen by more than 1% against last year.
We have already warned that the SNB lost 8.4 billion francs, 1.4% of Swiss GDP, in the months of October and November.
These are the SNB positions as of Q3, 2012:
The following is the currency breakdown per quarter:
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed above are not intended to be taken as investment advice. It is to be taken as opinion only and we encourage you to complete your own due diligence when making an investment decision. Even if we often write about Forex trading, our advices aren't written for day traders who follow technical channels, but rather for mid- and long-term investors. Our aim is to show discrepancies between fundamental data and current asset valuations, which can lead in mid-term to an inversion to technical channels.
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